Tag Archives: Betfair price

60 Points Profit in One Day

Rory DelargyWhat a day that was.

The people that took the £5 trial of the Racing Consultants service made over 60 points profit on Saturday.

So even the modest £10 bettors came away with £600 profit.

On the day they had winners at  7/2,  9/1 &  11/1. Along with an eachway Trixie with winners at 4/1 and 12/1 and a placed horse at 11/2.

I've got a selection from the guys for you below.

Another part of the service that I want to tell you about is the evening message.

When Rory and David assess the racing in the evening, occasionally they will spot a fancy that has been way over priced by the bookies.

When you get on at these prices you have locked in value and the option to trade out a bit of the bet for guaranteed profit.

They found one such bet last night and I got the mail at about 8:00 pm and I got my bet on at 16/1.

Most books have now cut the odds to 14/1, but as I type there is still a bit of 16's about (Boylesports)

Here's the Racing Consultants message sent out last night by Rory…

We hope to have more early messages now that the service is up and running, and those who've been trialling it for a while will be aware that we put Love Marmalade up as an overnight bet in May when he won at Musselburgh. On that occasion his SP was 3/1, but he was available to back the night before at 10/1 with a couple of firms.

This time the horse in question is Concrete Mac in the 4.10 at Chepstow.

The selection was a good fourth behind Fear Or Favour at Bath 2 starts back, and wasn't disgraced in mid-field last time. Both those runs came in higher grade, and when Hughie Morrison's charge was ridden by the inexperienced Charlie Bennett.

Dropped into a 0-70 tomorrow, and with the underrated Pat Dobbs on board, he's capable of going well, and is completely the wrong price with those firms who have chalked the race up.

He's far from a gimme (I was originally looking at Llyrical in the contest as he was a good second when advised at a Betfair price of 55 last time.), but I would have him in at no bigger than 7/1, and he's been chalked up at 16/1 with both Paddy Power and Bet365.

Paddy Power are also offering money back if your horse finishes second or third in this contest, which merely enhances his appeal. I'm happy enough to make him my Irish Field Nap, and will be stunned if he's not 10/1 or shorter by noon tomorrow.

The £5 trial for one months access to this service is still available and I recommend you jump on board before the entry fee increases.

Click Here http://racingconsultants.co.uk

Lay Lay Lay the Bot

Today is one of those days when I don't have anything in particular to tell you, so I figured it's a good day to update you on the Daily Punt Lays bot/portfolio.

I'm now at the stage where I have software that will automatically place the lays for me, but also I have software that will extract selections from my daily Horse Race Base systems email and will upload them to the server for all bot users to download.

What that means is that it doesn't really matter how many selections I have each day because it is no extra work whether I have 2 selections or 200!

So my plan is to scale up and add more lay systems to the portfolio.

As long as all the systems make a profit then adding more volume will increase overall profits.

(By the way you can use this bot and get my selections each day for £20 – here)

So far we have the Lay Debutants and the Lay Handicap selections and I've just added the Irish bumpers that I mentioned earlier in the week.

This morning I've been researching horses in handicaps that have won their last handicap and placed in the race prior to that.

Here are the figures…

Races – 373
Wins – 39
Strike Rate – 10.46
Backing Loss – 142.25

Horse Race Base's Betfair price simulation suggests a lay profit of 88 points per year.

So I'll be adding this system to the mix from tomorrow.

By the way, if you run a tipping service and are interested in providing auto betting software for your selections, drop me a mail and I'll pass it on to the boss.

Lay Debutants

12:40:00 Leicester 1 Vivaccio (FR)
15:40:00 Kempton 12 Why Not Now
16:40:00 Kempton 7 Izbushka (IRE)
17:10:00 Kempton 3 Galuppi

Today's Selection

6.10 Kempton Clerks Choice (IRE) – win bet – 5/2 Bet 365, Paddy Power

Laying Favourites – Simple System

I've been on the look out for some simple short priced laying systems recently to add to my collection.

While catching up with my reading at the weekend I came across a very simple system in What Really Wins Money.

This very simple system is about 20 points up this year from 164 bets. So not a fortune but 12% ROI.

This profit is calculated using the Horseracebase Betfair price simulation with 5% commission.

My plan is to do some further checks at Betfair SP and then add them into the portfolio for the Daily Punt Lays software to auto bet for us.

The rules…

Simples! Lay all favourites in Irish National Hunt Flat races (Bumpers)

Lay Debutants

12:00:00 Lingfield 3 Hiorne Tower (FR)
12:00:00 Lingfield 9 Royal Warranty

Today's Selection

3.40 Wolverhampton Lexis Hero – eachway bet – 11/1 Bet 365

Profit Angle

I've just been reading the Mark Jenkins column in this months Betting Insiders. Mark is the guy who makes a £1,000 per week from arbitrage betting and he shares strategies in the Betting Insiders every month.

Almost as an aside this month he mentioned a Paddy Power offer he has been taking advantage of.

I can't see the offer at Paddy at the moment, but I think that's because of the International break and hopefully it will be back at the weekend.

The offer is money back in certain football markets if the game ends in a draw.

What Mark has been doing is to make a bet in the correct score market, choosing an outcome that is close to the Betfair price.

There will be a small loss if the match is not a draw but if it does finish in a draw you get back your stake which is all profit minus the small loss made with the difference in prices between Betfair and the Paddy price.

To guarantee a profit whether the match finishes in a draw or not then lay off the draw at Betfair.

More and more of the arbitrage bettors profit these days is made by exploiting offers, like this.

For full details of this easy money and other strategies join the Betting Insiders http://bettinginsiders.com

It could well be a losing day for the Lay Debutants today, because the only selection is an 8/11 chance, so I'll leave it to you whether you lay that one or not.

Also note that it only qualifies as a debutant because it has no UK runs, but it has run in France!!

The selections have had a huge surge of profit over the last few days so maybe this is a leveller.

Lay Debutants

15:00:00 Wolverhampton 6 Winterwell (USA)

Today's Selections (courtesy of Hawk Eye Tips – Join the waiting list here)

Wolvs 5.00 Singzak 1pt win @ 7’1 Boylesport

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