Author Archives: Dave French

Horses to Follow

Today we have two horses for your tracker from John Burke along with a selection from his post in the Betting Insiders forum.

Saturday – 06/10

Ascot

Flaming Spear – Give the recent form of the Dean Ivory stable this wasn’t a bad run in the circumstances.  Not for the first time he wasn’t the best away but he finished his race off strongly to take 5th.

Granted he’s a bit of a ‘quirky’ horse but when all the cards fall right there is a good race in the gelding.

As I mentioned in my Royal Ascot “Horses To Follow” he looks like he needs a mile now and he has an entry in the 1m Balmoral Handicap back here on Champions Day. Now you would want to see the stable runners in a bit better form by the time of that race but he looks to have a good chance there. He can be backed at 14/1 with Sky Bet or 12/1 with William Hill for the Balmoral.

Advice: Just have him in the tracker for the Balmoral Handicap.

Newmarket

The good thing about end of season juvenile maidens & novice races at Newmarket are the future winners that can be found.

Turgenev – Who got the eye when an impressive winner of a Newcastle novice on his second career start. The John Gosden trained newcomer took another step forward here when giving 6lb + to his eleven rivals to win this 1m Newmarket novice. 

His final margin of victory 1 ½ lengths doesn’t reflect his superiority as his jockey eased him up the final 100yds.

The son of Dubawi had no problem with the easy surface and the Group 1 Vertem Futurity Trophy Stakes at Doncaster could be his next assignment.

He looks a nice horse already and he’s bred to do better as a three-year-old. When he should be able to stay 1m 2f.

Besides the winner the trainer also had the third home with Franz Kafka. Another son of Dubawi he was making his racecourse debut and his inexperience showed. He stayed on nicely enough into a well beaten 3rd at the line. He’s very much a work in progress and should do better with time and racing. His dam won the 1m 2f Pretty Polly as 3-year-old and was 5th in that seasons Oaks.

Advice: Back Turgenev if he runs at Doncaster but also keep him your trackers for next season.

Today's Selections

Ayr

I pointed out last week the good record of Irish trainer John James Feane at Ayr – 7 winners from 19 runners 37% +9.13 A/E 1.68 9 placed 47%. He had another winner here last week and he send over two from his Curragh base for today’s meeting:

2:05 – Syndicate – 11/4 @ Lads & Sky
3:40 – Long Wood – 5/2 @ WH & BV

Both runners look strong contenders in their respective races. But it maybe worth pointing out that the trainers record in Class 6 races (Long Wood) is – 6 winners from 14 runners 43% +10.88 A/E 1.88 7 placed 50%. With all seven of his winners having their first run at Ayr – 7 winners from 14 runners 50% +14.13 A/E 2.05 8 placed 54% (Syndicate & Long Wood)

Systems are the Answer

With David away this week it falls to me to try and fill the void today.

David is very affective with his selections which are often found as a result of things he’s seen in the parade ring or during a race and being at the race course many times each week he is ideally placed to spot those under exposed future winners.

But for me systems are the answer to the racing puzzle.

This is because they require less work on race day as the hard work of researching the system has been done ahead of time.

And just as importantly when following a system you don’t have any indecision about backing a selection, if the system identifies the selection then it’s a bet.

I like to do the research, decide that I have a profitable angle and commit to following the selections that angle throws up for a set period of time at which time I’ll decide whether to continue with the system.

We have one such system that has been developed within the Betting Insiders Club that I will be following for the new National Hunt season which we are selling a few copies of, if you would like that you can get a copy here https://www.bettinginsiders.com/nh-system/

It’s less than a tenner and will find you 15 to 20 bets per month through to the end of the season next April.

For today’s free tip I’ve raided the Betting Insiders members forum and this selection comes from a very popular club member who posts under the name Welshman

Nottingham 4:30 Makambe – each way bet 11/1 Paddy Power

Jock Off

David's away this week sunning himself after the excesses and hard work of last week at Ascot, so we'll try and find a few tidbits and tips to keep you entertained while he's away.

Today we have some selections from a pack of systems that Kieran Ward published last week.

If you'd like to get the systems for yourself you can get them here – https://dailypunt.com/jockeysystems

The selections are…

18:20 Bath 3 Fortune And Glory (USA)
16:30 Carlisle 2 Cavatina
17:00 Carlisle 2 Final Treat (IRE)

All the best
Dave F

Bangor

Sorry for the delay with today's post, I wanted to share a tip with you from the Racing Consultants tipping service but needed to delay to ensure that paying members had plenty of time to get the price before I send it out.

There is a half price trial running at the Racing Consultants and the 3 month offer work out very cheap. The RC service is very consistent and I understand that people who run with it for three months very rarely leave. https://racingconsultants.co.uk

Module hasn’t had much racing since being placed in the Champion Chase a few years ago, but while some will view his switch to hunter chases as a sign that he’s gone at the game, I would actually see it very differently, as Tom George is hell-bent on pushing son Noel’s career as an amateur rider, and he will be keen to provide as many winners as he can for the teenager in this sphere.

Module missed an engagement through cancellation earlier in the week, and will be suited by the track and trip at Bangor, and he ought to be favourite ahead of Barrakilla and Silver Roque on past form.

That pair don’t have any advantages over him in terms of fitness, and whether Silver Roque will be as effective under rules now family-trained as he was with Fergal O’Brien is open to debate. It’s intriguing to note, though, that Mary Vestey happens to be Henrietta Knight’s niece.

2.45 Bangor –  win bet  Module Betfair Sportsbook are still showing 5/1 as I type

There will be no post tomorrow. John Burke will be back on Monday and David Massey will be back with us on Tuesday.

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