Archives • Daily Punt

Scottish Sprint Cup

Posted on June 17, 2017 by Dave French • 0 Comments

Today I'm going to continue this week's theme of sharing from the Betting School Insiders Club.

As I mentioned earlier in the week, every weekend and for every big festival Nick Hardman shares his selections with club members.

If you watched the video that I included earlier in the week and which is included again below you will know that the method he uses is race profiling.

Nick has proven very popular with this method and his profit since he started proofing & sharing his selections on December 26th 2014 is +1480.55 points.

At £10 per point that's £14,805.

One of the things about his race profiling methods that some people don't like is that he often comes up with more than one selection in a race.

But the proof is in the past results and I would encourage people to embrace this and go with it.

Nick posted selections for 7 of today's races in the Betting School members area last night and I have copied one of those races here for you.

Musselburgh 3.10pm

Not a bad race for previous trends and the one who ticks most of the boxes is Orion’s Bow.

Gamesome is not far behind on the trends front and could go well from a nice high draw. He has just one win to his name but is consistent and could place at a price.

Elsewhere, Desert Law looks like he is still in form and has previous form at this course. He needs to turn form around with a few of these from the Epsom Dash but he may just do that.

Orion’s Bow @9/1
Desert Law @10/1
Gamesome @20/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places, BV) or 18/1 e/w same terms B365

The prices quoted are those that were available when Nick posted the selections.

Next week we're back to normal with the Victor Value column on Monday and David Massey for the rest of the week.

All the best

Dave F

Please follow and like us:

Filed Under: Tips

Profitable Portfolio

Posted on June 16, 2017 by Dave French • 0 Comments

I suppose some punters bet the horses just for the thrill or the challenge of finding selections but for most of us we are looking to make a profit as well.

So a profitable portfolio must be the ultimate aim.

And that's what Andrew David is promising with his Quick Fire Profits.

Andrew claims he can teach you how to make £900+ per month and he's going to teach you in 30 days!

The best bit about that claim is that I have a link (exclusive I think) that will let you try that 30 days for just a quid.

If any readers have joined Quick Fire Profits and have some feedback for other readers, good or bad, we'd love to hear it in the comments.

Here's the link for the £1 offer

https://oj209.infusionsoft.com/app/form/qfb-power

Onto other matters and I have another snippet of info for you from the Betting School Insiders Club.

This time from Josh wright who is a regular contributor to the club.

Here's how Josh introduced his Royal Ascot piece in this months members report

In this month’s article I am going to take a look at Royal Ascot 2017 and the trainers we should be focussing on. All stats are for the last five meetings, 2012/13/14/15/16. So far this season I have had success with a similar approach for Chester’s May meeting and York’s Dante meeting.

With any luck the following trainer micro angles and pointers will help you back the odd winner also. I am a believer that the trainers are more important than the horse at meetings such as this.

Time and time again many of them target the same races, with the same horses, having had similar preparations. They are creatures of habit and often it can pay just to follow them in.

This is even more relevant at big competitive meetings such as Royal Ascot where many horses have strong form lines and are arriving at the top of their game.

In any case, this approach is designed to help arm you with some added information in your battle against the bookies. Time will tell if this approach will work this year but the stats are the stats, and I suspect they will point us to the odd nice priced winner or three. To start with I have just highlighted all trainers with three or more winners in the period.

Unfortunately I can't share the full article here, but I have been allowed to publish his data and a micro system for Aiden O'Brien's Royal Ascot runners.

Aiden O’Brien

Pointers

 Group 3 + Listed Races: 35 bets/9 wins/16 places/26% sr/+92 BFSP/AE 1.64- 2 runs this season: 5/14, 6 places… +74 BFSP
– 2nd or 3rd Last Time Out: 7/13, 8p…+91 BFSP
– Ran in same class LTO as today’s race (so Listed or G3): 3/6, 5p…+12 BFSP – Ran at Curragh LTO: 7/15, 9p…+58 BFSP
– Made career debut on the All-Weather: 3/5, 5 places… +35 BFSP

 Group 1 + 2 Races: 69 bets / 10 wins / 32 places / 15% sr / +12 BFSP / AE 0.75 – 2 year old only races: 3/15, 8 places… +30 BFSP- 1 run this season only: 5/19, 10 places… +15 BFSP – Ran at the Curragh LTO: 3/27, 12p, -21 BFSP

 All Runners
– Ran at Dundalk on first career start: 5/14,11p… +32 BFSP- One run at track previously: 4/15,6 places… +20 BFSP

Micro System

 Group 3 or Listed Race

 2nd or 3rd Last Time Out

 Any odds

Hopefully that will point you to a winner next week.

Today's selection is 16:05 York Sainted – win bet 5/1 Coral, Will Hill

Please follow and like us:

Filed Under: Systems

Trainer Profits

Posted on June 15, 2017 by Dave French • 4 Comments

Today I have news of an interesting new step by step method or finding winners from UK horse racing.

The Trainer Profits website claims that the psychological phenomenon called Magical Thinking, which effects all sports people to a certain extent has an impact on how well trainers do at particular courses.

The research goes deeper than that and claims that if you research a trainers performance by racecourse and type of race that you will find profitable angles to follow.

The Trainer Profits site outlines a three step plan for operating the method.

Check that out here…

http://trainerprofits.com

So today I have an example for you of the kind of system that Trainer Profits are sharing.

They are simple, straightforward and easy to operate as this example demonstrates.

Mrs M Fife wins 60% of his Flat Turf runners in Class 4 at Haydock for a 240% ROI.

I picked that system as a demonstration because Mrs M Fife has a runner today in a class 4 at Haydock.

Haydock 18:35 Adam's Ale.

So we are making that today's selection.

Please follow and like us:

Filed Under: Systems

King George V – BooBoo

Posted on June 14, 2017 by Dave French • 0 Comments

I made a booboo yesterday, the preview and tip was from the Betting School Insiders Club, but it was the work of Alan Dudman, so apologies to Alan who is a regular contributor and big race tipster in the club.

Today I do have something from Nick Hardman, who tips for the Betting School Insiders Club every weekend and at all the big festivals.

Below is his profile for the King George V Stakes.

The King George V Stakes (1m 4f handicap for 3yo)

A great race if you fancy an each-way bet, the King George V Stakes has produced some meaty priced winners over the years. Elidor was a 20/1 shot when winning in 2013 and Cosmic Sun was a huge 66/1 winner in 2009. Heron Bay was another big priced winner at 20/1 in 2007. Two trainers who target this race are Sir Michael Stoute and Mark Johnston who have both won it 4 times since 1998.

The best place to start is to look for a top 3 finish last time out. Only one winner has managed to defy this statistic since 1997. There have been 4 winning favourites since 1997 and 2 of those have come in the last 6 renewals. Winners do tend to come from the top ten in the market (19 of the last 20 winners) with the exception of Cosmic Sun who was the rank outsider when causing a huge upset in 2009.

Two or three runs in the current season look favourable and accounts for 16 of the last 20 winners. Horses rated 87+ have dominated with 16 winners since 1997 and that is also reflected in the weight carried by the winners in recent times with 8 of the last 10 winners shouldering between 8st 10lbs and 9st 3lbs.

Nine of the last eleven winners exited from a double figure stall and with an average of 16 to 18 runners in this race that looks like a pretty decent statistic to add into the mix.

So in summary, look for a horse that ticks as many of these boxes as possible and you'll have a likely winner.

 Top 3 finish LTO
 Trained by Mark Johnston or Sir Michael Stoute
 Top 10 in the betting
 Rated 87+
 2 or 3 runs in the current season
 Carrying 8st 10lbs or more
 Double figure draw

Author Archives: Dave French

Scottish Sprint Cup

Profitable Portfolio

Trainer Profits

King George V – BooBoo