contest Archives • Daily Punt

60 Points Profit in One Day

Posted on June 23, 2014 by Dave French • 0 Comments

What a day that was.

The people that took the £5 trial of the Racing Consultants service made over 60 points profit on Saturday.

So even the modest £10 bettors came away with £600 profit.

On the day they had winners at 7/2, 9/1 & 11/1. Along with an eachway Trixie with winners at 4/1 and 12/1 and a placed horse at 11/2.

I've got a selection from the guys for you below.

Another part of the service that I want to tell you about is the evening message.

When Rory and David assess the racing in the evening, occasionally they will spot a fancy that has been way over priced by the bookies.

When you get on at these prices you have locked in value and the option to trade out a bit of the bet for guaranteed profit.

They found one such bet last night and I got the mail at about 8:00 pm and I got my bet on at 16/1.

Most books have now cut the odds to 14/1, but as I type there is still a bit of 16's about (Boylesports)

Here's the Racing Consultants message sent out last night by Rory…

We hope to have more early messages now that the service is up and running, and those who've been trialling it for a while will be aware that we put Love Marmalade up as an overnight bet in May when he won at Musselburgh. On that occasion his SP was 3/1, but he was available to back the night before at 10/1 with a couple of firms.

This time the horse in question is Concrete Mac in the 4.10 at Chepstow.

The selection was a good fourth behind Fear Or Favour at Bath 2 starts back, and wasn't disgraced in mid-field last time. Both those runs came in higher grade, and when Hughie Morrison's charge was ridden by the inexperienced Charlie Bennett.

Dropped into a 0-70 tomorrow, and with the underrated Pat Dobbs on board, he's capable of going well, and is completely the wrong price with those firms who have chalked the race up.

He's far from a gimme (I was originally looking at Llyrical in the contest as he was a good second when advised at a Betfair price of 55 last time.), but I would have him in at no bigger than 7/1, and he's been chalked up at 16/1 with both Paddy Power and Bet365.

Paddy Power are also offering money back if your horse finishes second or third in this contest, which merely enhances his appeal. I'm happy enough to make him my Irish Field Nap, and will be stunned if he's not 10/1 or shorter by noon tomorrow.

The £5 trial for one months access to this service is still available and I recommend you jump on board before the entry fee increases.

Click Here http://racingconsultants.co.uk

Filed Under: Tips
... ..., access, ads, age, appeal, Art, Aw, Bath, Ben, bet, Bet365, Betfair, Betfair price, bettors, bit, board, book, bookies, books, bot, boy, Boyle, Boylesport, Boylesports, Chepstow, Class, Click, Click Here http://racingconsultants.co.uk, Concrete Mac, Consultants service, contest, couple, cut, David, Delargy, eachway, eachway Trixie, early messages, end, entry, entry fee, entry fee increases, evening message, experience, fair price, fan, fancy, fav, Favour, Fear, Fear Or Favour, field, Fin, firm, firms, Fit, Fr, GER, gim, GOING, grade, guarantee, guaranteed profit, guy, guys, higher grade, horse, http://racingconsultants.co.uk, Hughie Morrison, inexperienced Charlie Bennett, Irish Field, Irish Field Nap, jump, King, Llyrical, look, Love Marmalade, Low, mag, mail, men, message, mid-field, money, Musselburgh, NAP, net, night, noon, occasion, odds, offer, overnight bet, Paddy, Paddy Power, pan, people, place, pm, point, points, points profit, Power, price, prices, profit, Punt, question, race, racing, Racing Consultants, Racing Consultants message, Racing Consultants service, Rory, Rory Delargy, run, running, runs, Saturday, selection, service, size, Sn, SP, sport, sports, SR, Star, starts, style, tee, test, time, title, Tom, Tp, trade, trial, Trixie, type, UK, underrated Pat Dobbs, value, war, way, WH, width=, win, winner, winners, Won, wrong price, |Winners |Strike Rate, £10

Rory Delargy Tips (Try for a Fiver)

Posted on June 10, 2014 by Dave French • 3 Comments

Rory Delargy, who I first heard on Timeform Radio and Will Hill radio, has launched his own tipping service along with fellow Will Hill regular David Massey.

Rory currently represents The Irish Field in the Racing Post Naps competition and is a regular at the top of the Naps table. (I just checked and he's currently 3rd)

The new service that Rory and David have just launched has a first month trial price of just £5 and you can take that here http://racingconsultants.co.uk/

I have shared some of their analysis and tips on this site before, and as well as giving selections and suggested stakes they also share their assessment of the race and the reason that the selections have been made.

Here's an example of one they got right last week…

4.40 Fontwell – Wor Rom 1pt e/w 15-2 Coral – Won 12/1

Fontwell – Similarly conditions are set to worsen at the Sussex venue and soft ground horses should be given utmost consideration. The 3.10 gets a mention due to the money this morning for Detour Ahead, one of three horses Warren Greatrex has got from Jennie Candish, and it will be interesting to see how he gets on today. Always had ability but it’s been difficult to unlock, and if this one wins you can expect good money for the other two when they run too. Dahteste is another that’s shown a glimmer of ability in that contest, and is another that needs keeping an eye on, having run well over C & D on rain-softened ground the time before last before disappointing again next time.

The only bet on the card comes in the shape of veteran Wor Rom in the 4.40. He’s possibly the one horse in the field you can put your finger on who won’t have any issues with this extended trip in soft ground, and the addition of first time blinkers may well rejuvenate him (has run well in cheekpieces before). With Andrew Thornton on board to bump him along, he should be staying on better than most here and ought not be out of the frame at worst.

So if you would like to try out a service from some real pro analysts at a bargain price then head over to http://racingconsultants.co.uk, I think it will be an education as well as profitable.

Today's Selection

6.05 Worcester Typhon De Guye – win bet – 11/2 Bet Victor

Filed Under: Tips
... ..., 000, ability, Ahead, analysis, Andrew Thornton, bargain price, bet, Bet Victor, blinkers, board, card, cheekpieces, competition, conditions, consideration, contest, Coral, Coral – Won, David, David Massey, Delargy, Detour Ahead, e/w, end, example, extended trip, eye, field, Fin, Fit, Fontwell, form, Fr, gain, GER, good money, Great, ground, guy, head, heck, Hill, Hill radio, horse, horses, horses Warren Greatrex, http://racingconsultants.co.uk, Inter, Irish Field, issue, Jennie Candish, Juve, Low, mass, men, mention, money, morning, NAP, Naps table, need, new service, n’t, pan, piece, point, post, price, profit, Punt, race, racing, Racing Consultants, Racing Post, Racing Post Naps, rain-softened ground, real pro, reason, regular David Massey, rest, right, Rory, Rory Delargy, run, selection, selections, service, set, shape, share, site, Soft, soft ground, soft ground horses, SP, stake, stakes, style, Sussex venue, table, test, time, time blinkers, Timeform, Timeform Radio, tipping service, tips, title, TOUR, Tp, trial, trial price, trip, UK, utmost consideration, vet, veteran Wor Rom, war, Warren Greatrex, way, ways, week., WH, win, Win bet, wins, Wn, Won, Wor Rom, Worcester, |Winners |Strike Rate

Investec Oaks Tips

Posted on June 6, 2014 by Dave French • 0 Comments

It's Oaks day and if you havn't already you can read Nick's full assessment of the race here http://dailypunt.com/epsom-oaks-selections/

But if you just want the quick summary here it is…

Only 3 favourites have won this race in the last 10 years!

All of the last 10 winners had raced over further than a mile.

Six of the last 10 winners won last time out.

15 of the last 17 winners had a top three finish last time out.

Intimal – Fails the last time out win stat, She has form on good-to-soft, good-to-firm and on tapeta where she won the UAE 100 Guineas and the UAE Oaks over 10 furlongs.

Both were Group 3 races but she followed that up with an excellent third in the 1000 Guineas at the Rowley Mile. Of those at the front of the market I think she represents the best value at 10/1.

Madam Chiang – The lightly raced Madame Chiang is another fascinating runner, especially if the rain gets into the ground between now and race day. (Going is Good today)

She has only seen a racecourse twice; winning her maiden over a mile on soft ground at Yarmouth before winning the Musidora over 10f at York on her seasonal reappearance (also on soft ground).

With plenty of improvement possible and bred to stay the extra 2 furlongs, she also represents value at the current odds of 16/1.

Volume – Luca Cumani’s Volume has possibilities of making the frame. She has yet to finish out of the 3 in 8 races to date, although two of those were handicaps. She also won the trial at Newbury which is the same race where Izzy Top beat Dancing Rain in 2012.

Those two went on to contest the Oaks and finished 3rd and 1st at 25/1 and 20/1 respectively. She has to improve on what she has done so far but if the ground has some juice in it then she looks all about stamina and could be staying on at the end.

Note: Nick's assessment was that both Madame Chiang and Volume would prefer some give in the ground

Best value: Intimal @ 10/1 Bet Victor
Each-way alternative: Madame Chiang @16/1 Paddy Power
Lively outsider: Volume @20/1 (each-way) Sky Bet

Filed Under: Tips
... ..., 000, beat, best value, bet, Bet Victor, Bet Victor Each-way, bot, contest, course, Cumani, current odds, Dancing Rain, date, Each-way alternative, each-way Sky Bet, ears, end, Epsom Oaks Selections, fascinating runner, fav, Favour, favourite, favourites, Fin, finish last time, firm, form, Fr, furlongs, GOING, ground, ground Best value, Group, Guineas, hand, handicaps, Imp, Intimal, Izzy, King, Light, Lively outsider, look, Low, Luca Cumani, Madam Chiang, Madame Chiang, maiden, man, mark, market, men, mile, Musidora, Newbury, Nick, note, odds, Paddy, Paddy Power, Paddy Power Lively, plenty, Power, Punt, quick summary, race, racecourse, races, refer, Rowley, Rowley Mile, run, runner, season, seasonal reappearance, selection, selections, Sky Bet, Soft, soft ground, SP, stamina, stat, summary, tapeta, test, ties, time, title, Tp, trial, UAE Oaks, value, Volume, way, WH, win, win stat, winner, winners, Won, Yarmouth, York, |Winners |Strike Rate

Epsom Derby Tips

Posted on June 3, 2014 by Dave French • 0 Comments

Following on from yesterdays Oaks analysis today we have Nick Hardman's (Betting Insiders) Epsom Derby tips.

The Derby ante-post market has been all about Aiden O’Brien’s Australia and it is 5/4 the field right now. If he lives up to the hype he will win this comfortably and if you truly believe that then I would not put you off backing him.

However, I haven’t seen enough on the racecourse to be tempted by those odds and I am happy to take him on.

Similar to the Oaks, the Derby has some strong trends that are worth exploring.

Only 2 of the last 17 winners were priced 17/2 or higher and all of the last 15 winners returned odds of 7/1 or shorter.

With 16 of the last 17 winners coming from the top 4 in the market it has certainly paid not to look too far down the list. 16 of the last 17 winners either won or filled the runners up spot on their previous start (13 won and 3 were second).

Interestingly that would rule out the top three from the betting – Australia (3rd in 2000 Guineas), Geoffrey Chaucer (3rd in the Leopardstown Derby trial) and Kingston Hill (8th in the 2000 Guineas) as well as True Story (3rd in the Dante).

It would take a surprise winner to maintain that trend on Saturday afternoon. Finally, 12 of the last 17 winners had raced beyond 1 mile and all 10 previous winners had had no more than 5 runs.

With Australia at prohibitive odds for this particular punter, I will look at the 3 behind him in the market. Geoffrey Chaucer is second favourite having been backed in from 12s to around 7s. He was unlucky in the Leopardstown trial and was eased down into 3rd after being squeezed for room.

That was over 1m 2f and he appears versatile ground-wise. I think the money coming for him is significant and I’d be delighted to see Ryan Moore on board. The 8/1 with PaddyPower looks a solid bet and with only 3 runs under his belt there is surely more to come.

The horse who beat Geoffey Chaucer that day was Fascinating Rock and he is another one with solid place prospects. He has won his last 3 starts (all over 10f) with the last two being Group 3 races.

He will surely stay and has done all his winning on good-to-soft and soft so he won’t be inconvenienced by any rain.

At 14/1 he is definitely an each-way candidate.

True Story has a lot to prove after a disappointing run in the Dante and he may just be a different horse on good or quick ground. I would have to wait and see what the going was on the day before making a decision on this horse. Kieran Fallon is very keen on him and he says we will see a different horse on the day.

Kingston Hill was an emphatic winner of the Racing Post Trophy on soft ground on his final 2 year old start but has never raced beyond a mile. Western Hymn does get 10f as his last 2 victories have shown so stamina should not be an issue for John Gosden’s colt.

He was very impressive on his seasonal reappearance but was less than convincing on his next start in the Sandown trial, hanging badly left in the final furlong.

Snow Sky took the Lingfield Derby trial but looks held by Western Hymn on their Newbury running and was trounced by Kingston Hill in the Racing Post Trophy (albeit over 1 mile).

Of the remainder, Aiden O’Brien’s Orchestra is interesting after overcoming greenness to win the Chester Vase over the exact same trip as the Derby. After just 3 runs he is open to plenty of improvement and he showed that day that a mile and a half is within his reach.

This year’s renewal is a fascinating contest, especially with Australia taking a huge chunk out of the market. Clearly connections have seen enough at home to feel Australia is much better than Geoffrey Chaucer and Orchestra.

However, if he were to lose he would certainly not be the first Ballydoyle hot-pot to be turned over by the second or third string from that stable. At the prices I think the value lies with Geoffrey Chaucer.

Of those at bigger prices, Kingston Hill, Orchestra, Fascinating Rock and Western Hymn all make some each-way appeal. I make Orchestra the pick of the four having proven himself over a mile and a half on soft ground at Chester, but all of them are worthy of consideration for an upset.

Epsom Derby Selections:

Best value: Geoffrey Chaucer @8/1 (PaddyPower)
Each-way alternative: Orchestra @16/1

Filed Under: Form
... ..., 000, afternoon, analysis, appeal, Art, backing, beat, best value, bet, betting, Betting Insider, Betting Insiders, bigger price, bigger prices, bit, board, Brien, chester, Chester Vase, colt, consideration, contest, course, date, decision, delight, derby selections, disappointing run, Each-way alternative, ears, end, Epsom Derby Selections, exact same trip, fascinating contest, fav, Favour, favourite, field, Fin, Final, Fr, Geoffrey Chaucer, GER, GOING, Gosden, ground, Group, Guineas, half, Hill, home, horse, hype, Imp, Inter, issue, John Gosden, Kieran Fallon, King, Kingston Hill, Leopardstown, Leopardstown trial, Light, Lingfield, list, lives, look, Low, Luck, man, mark, market, men, mile, money, Moore, mph, Newbury, Nick, Nick Hardman, noon, n’t, odds, offer, Open, O’Brien, place, plenty, point, post, Power, press, previous start, previous winners, price, prices, prospects, Punt, punter, race, racecourse, races, racing, Racing Post, Racing Post Trophy, remainder, renewal, rest, return, right, rise, Roc, rock, room, RPR, rule, run, runner, runners, running, runs, Ryan Moore, Sandown, Saturday, Saturday afternoon, season, seasonal reappearance, selection, selections, set, Sn, Soft, soft ground, solid bet, SP, stamina, Star, starts, story, strong trends, surprise, table, test, tips, title, Tp, Trends, trial, trip, turn, value, victories, way, West, Western Hymn, WH, win, winner, winners, Wn, Won, worth, yesterdays, |Winners |Strike Rate

Tag Archives: contest

60 Points Profit in One Day

Rory Delargy Tips (Try for a Fiver)

Investec Oaks Tips

Epsom Derby Tips