Tag Archives: country

Perth Trainer Trends

Today we have an interesting trainer angle from Mark Foley of the Betting School Insiders Club…

Perth Trainer Trends

Perth stages summer racing over the jumps and you invariably think of Nigel Twiston Davies as the man to follow. 

The West Country maestro has done well in recent years with 27 runners since 2010, however during the same period, Irish raider Gordon Elliot has saddled a remarkable 72 winners at the Scottish track.

With the Stanraer ferry and a good motorway network making it easier for him to get to Perth than many of the Irish tracks and Irish races often being oversubscribed he has taken full advantage of his trips across the Irish Sea.

The strike rate since 2010 has been a very respectable 25% when you consider he has sent over 249 horses, but that only tells half of the story and the good news is that they have become even more profitable to follow in the past two years than in previous seasons.

In the past two seasons he has been more selective with the runners he has sent over but the strike rate was 32% last year and a remarkable 38% the year before; the ROI’s were 52% and 74%.

You would think that the booking of top Jocks AP Mc Coy and Jason Maguire would send the prices plummeting but 10 winners from 22 runners in the past two seasons, for a 45% ROI would suggest otherwise and the stable’s runners could have been backed with confidence when McCoy or Maguire rode or when he booked a ticket for Davey Condon.

Gordon Elliot has one entered at Perth today and 2 tomorrow.

Today's is in the 4.20 and is High Expectations.

Today's Selection courtesy of Winning Trends http://winningtrends.co.uk

Brighton 3.00 Best Example – win bet – 11/4 Bet 365

Perth

Profitable Yarmouth Trainers

I guess there are a lot of race courses that are out on a limb, as it were, geographically.

Yarmouth is local to me and I know what a pain it is to travel there from anywhere else in the country. I also remember years ago there was a system doing the rounds based on betting the runners of Newmarket based trainers.

The theory being that the big HQ yards would try out their hotshots at Yarmouth because it is relatively local to them.

So this morning I thought I'd run a report on top performing trainers at Yarmouth and see what I come up with.

Amazingly there is a trainer with a 40% strike rate (Ed Walker) at Yarmouth from all runs and another with a 39% strike rate (Mrs L Wadham).

Profitable Yarmouth Trainers

Below I have listed all the trainers with a 20% or higher strike rate, who have had more than 10 runners at Yarmouth.

Baker, George
Bravery, G C
Burke, Mrs K
Carson, Anthony
Cecil, H R A (Lady Cecil!)
Cumani, L M
Fahey, R A
Haggas, W J
Hannon, R
Haynes, A B
Hutchinson, Alison
McBride, P J
Meehan, B J
Mohammed, Ismail
Noseda, J
Powell, B G
Varian, Roger
Wadham, Mrs L
Walker, Ed
Wall, C F
Williams, Ian

Following these trainers at Yarmouth betting all horses they send would have returned a whopping 51% Return on Investment at SP over the last 3 1/2 years.

Today the following runners are trained by a trainer from our high strike rate list above…

5.50 Orlando Rogue
6.50 Censorious (trained by Ed Walker), Hamble & Sermarel
7.20 Venus Marina
7.50 Peacemaker
8.20 Piemans Girl, Roring Samson
8.50 Vodka Chaser

Football Preview and Tips

We've got this weekend's football preview below, but first just a mention of today's Betfred offer, which is again a double odds offer.

If Bob's worth wins by more than 5 lengths then Betfred will double the odds on SP bets up to £500.

If you don't like risk, then make an SP bet with Betfred and lay the bet off at Betfair, if Bob's Worth wins by more than 5 lengths you will make a huge bonus.

Lay the bet just before the off to get an idea of what SP will be. http://betfred.com

Today we have a preview of the weekends football action and Premier League football tips from Tipster Warehouse…

A Preview of this Weekends Football Action

Last weekend Chelsea took full advantage of their rival’s involvement in the FA Cup by storming to a seven point lead at the top of the table. This weekend all of the top four face challenging ties away from home which may start to sort the boys from the men.

The early kick off on Saturday features a Manchester City side who will want to re-establish their credentials as the most free scoring and entertaining side in the country.

City suffered a surprising loss at the Etihad to Championship side Wigan in the FA Cup Quarter Final last week and amazingly it will be manager Manuel Pellegrini who is under the most pressure at the moment. It’s been a very bad week for the Chilean as he has witnessed his team crash out of the Champions League at the hands of Barcelona as well.

Tomorrow they face a Hull City side buoyed by their own progress to the FA Cup semi finals. The mega rich owners of the Citizens do not accept the slightest sign of weakness from their manager or his players so they will be desperate to get their season back on track.

I can only see one winner here as Negredo, Aguero and Co should be too much for the Tigers to contend with. But then again I thought that last week as well. I guess that’s the beauty of football.

There is a reason Chelsea have taken the Premier League by the scruff of the neck. Consistency. They have won eleven and drawn three of their last fourteen league games and that is the form of champions.

They travel to the Midlands to play Aston Villa – a team with recent form as full of holes as Miley Cyrus’s string vest. Three losses and a draw were followed up last weekend by a terrible start against Norwich.

With only one goal scored in the last three hundred and sixty minutes of football no one could have foreseen the incredible turnaround which saw them score four times in sixteen first half minutes to end the contest and take the points. Villa will need to take that form into this game if they are to stand any chance. John Terry and his band of merry men mullered Tottenham last week by four goals helped by a little bit of theatrics from Samuel Eto’o as he “won” a penalty which saw Younes Kaboul red carded for the challenge.

It was sad to see Eto’o join Ramires, Hazard and Oscar in the Chelsea Diving Club but thankfully the powers that be at least recognised this during the week as they rescinded Kaboul's sending off. Too late for Spurs but the correct decision to stop any further punishment for the unlucky Kaboul. Now, I’d like to see that taken a little further as they should also retrospectively punish those that clearly cheat to gain an advantage for their side.

In previous seasons the clash between Manchester United and Liverpool has been eagerly awaited as a potential powder keg of a game and I expect this Sunday we will not see too much Churchgoing Spirit being displayed at Old Trafford.

The Red Devils have won their last two matches but remain fallible and for the first time in many years it is Liverpool who will be favourites for the three points. Seven wins and two draws in their last nine games have seen Brendan Rogers and his side move into second place and this will be a huge test of their character.

If they can win at Old Trafford then the self belief will flood through their veins and it could lead to the start of a serious push for the title. The Triple S strikeforce of Suarez, Sturridge and Sterling are hitting some superb form and if they can over come the sense of awe that had under Sir Alex Ferguson pervaded Old Trafford then they could make the short journey back to Merseyside with all three points.

United under David Moyes have not yet gained that sense of awe and are proving to have a vulnerability about them that would have been unheard of in the last twenty years or so.

Sunday also sees the North London derby between Tottenham and Arsenal. Spurs have struggled badly against the top four sides this season and have gained just one point in six games thus far. A draw with Chelsea in September has been their solitary success.

Losses to Arsenal by one goal and then two losses to Manchester City with eleven goals conceded have been combined with two further losses to Liverpool by five and Chelsea by four goals.

Games with their closest rivals Arsenal have been closer in recent years and form has often gone out of the window but with Tim Sherwood’s position in charge reported to be a matter of contention already he will not want to suffer a loss to the Gunners.

A win for Spurs could see them get to within three points of Arsenal but they will not need any added motivation to bust a gut in this game. It could prove to be an apt time to face their rivals since Arsene Wenger will be without Mesut Ozil as well as Jack Wilshere and a number of others struggling with injuries. I suspect the teams will nullify each other and a draw will prove to be a fair result.

Top Tips

Manchester City will get back on track and punish Hull City by a clear two or three goals. Best odds for a City win are at 4/7 although odds on Hull at 6/1 are generous for a home win at any time. Couple this with a gimme bet on Chelsea at 6/11 or if you’re feeling a little more adventurous why not have a little faith with Brendan Rogers and his men. Best odds on Liverpool are at 2/1 for a win at Old Trafford and I have a sneaking suspicion that the Pool will heap further misery on David Moyes and his misfiring malcontents.

To find out more about Tipster Warehouse and to get more free tips Click Here.

Today's Selection

Cheltenham 2.40 Kings Palace – win bet – 4/1 Ladbrokes

Cheltenham Day 2

Well Value Backing got of to a great start with Western Warhorse that was advised at 50/1 and Jezki advised at 10/1.

If you joined that service then you can't have a losing Cheltenham now 🙂

Tell me in the comments if you were on either of these.

By the way you can still join Value Backing and get the rest of the Festival selections. http://valuebacking.com

Today's Offers

Bet365 are again giving a free bet on the next race for any winner you back at 4/1 or bigger – http://bet365.com

Betfair Sports book will refund you if the favourite wins on all Cheltenham races (Up to £25) – http://betfair.com

Enhanced Place Betting

Most bookies are going 5 places on the Coral Cup (2.40).

Racebets are alone in going 5 places on the Cross Country (4.00)

On the Fred Winter 4.40 Bet 365, Sporting Bet, Stan James, Betfair Sportsbook and Racebets are all going with 5 places.

And in the Champion Bumper (5.15) you can get 4 places with Bet 365, Skybet, Sporting Bet, Paddy Power and Betfair Sportsbook.

Today's Selection

Cheltenham 2.05 Carlingford Lough – eachway bet – 8/1 Bet 365, Bet Victor

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