If you like to know exactly why your tipster makes the bets he makes and you like to see just how much work goes into making winning selections then you’ll love Mark Foley.
Mark made 36 points profit in December with his Premier League bets and today I have his analysis and selections for the Sunderland V Liverpool game for you.
Last time we gave one of Mark’s analysis here it made a tasty profit for readers and wise owls joined his service here for just £9.99
Racing fans, don’t forget Nick Hardman gave his Lanzarote tips on yesterdays post.
Over to Mark Foley…
Sunderland v Liverpool 12.45 BT Sport1
Liverpool have been improving of late and their only defeat in the last 8 came at Old Trafford, they have also made the semi finals of the Capital One cup and are in the 4th round of the FA cup. However, you wouldn’t want one of their players to take your dog for a walk, they are still struggling to hold onto a lead and threw away a two goal lead against Leicester last week.
Sunderland have looked far more secure since Costel Pantilimon took over between the sticks, he has the best saves to shots ratio of any Premier League goalkeeper this season (78%) and although Sunderland have won just one of their last 10 league matches, they have only lost three of those ten games.
The Black Cats have won just one of their last 10 Premier League games against Liverpool but 4 of the games have ended as draws. Liverpool have won five of their last eight Premier League visits to the Stadium of Light (W5 D1 L2). One of those defeats back in 2009 saw the only Sunderland goal scored by a certain B.Ball; whatever happened to Mr beach ball?
Sunderland have scored a higher proportion of their goals in the final 15 minutes of Premier League games than any other side (33%) and they have also picked up more yellow cards (52) than any other team in the top flight. Sunderland to come from behind and draw looks like a bit of value at 8/1 with Hills.
Liverpool have only been losing once after 45 in their last 15 PL games and have been all square in all but 3 of the last 13.
Sunderland have either been drawing 0-0 or 1-1 at HT in all but one of their last 10 PL games. Look towards a blank first half.
Sunderland have played every team currently in the top seven at home apart from Southampton and four of the six games have ended as draws. All but 3 of Sunderland’s 10 goals at home came in the first half hour of the games.
Liverpool have played five teams currently in the top half of the table away from Anfield and have lost four of them. If Sunderland do get an early goal, there is a good chance it will be Adam Johnson who has scored in three of his last four Premier League games.
Seven of the last 11 goals against the Black Cats were scored by Luis Suarez (plus two by Daniel Sturridge). All but one of Raheem Sterling’s 4 goals have come away from home and as long as Liverpool don’
Draw/Draw: BetVictor 17/4
HT/FT correct score 0-0/1-1: Powers 16/1
Sunderland to come from behind and draw: Hills 8/1
Adam Johnson 1st goal: BetVictor 13/1
Correct score 1-1: BetVictor 13/2
Correct score HT 0-0: Boylesports 2/1
Raheem Sterling 1st goal: Widely available 5/1