Tag Archives: guy

Beat The Odds and you Will Profit

Sometimes in life we need to remind ourselves of the fundamentals of whatever we are striving to be successful with in order to get our ship back on course.

With betting the biggest fundamental is value and the easiest way to make money from betting is to make your bets at odds that are better than starting price.

And beat starting price when it is adjusted down for a true market IE the prices make up a 100% chance when all possible outcomes are added up.

Starting price, especially these days with the betting exchange markets is an easy and reasonably reliable indicator of the true price/chance for any runner.

And the easiest and most efficient way to do that these days is to beat Betfair SP.

Betfair SP makes up to 100% and the prices are fair to both backers and layers.

If you can beat the Betfair SP consistently then you will make a profit.

There are tipping services that base their whole selection criteria around betting on horses that are showing signs that they will shorten in price from the morning bookie price to the starting price.

Although that is a winning strategy in itself, a better strategy is to study form and make your own selections, determine your own prices and bet where the early prices are bigger than your assessment.

That can be hard work though and you may want somebody to tell you what to bet to beat the market and if you want to be a winner without the work I would recommend Rory Delargy of the http://racingconsultants.co.uk

Rory regularly beats Betfair starting price and consequently he makes steady and consistent profits.

he also gives a full analysis of every bet he gives so you know exactly why they have made each bet. These write ups invariably include other profitable info and bets that are below Rory's minimum price

http://racingconsultants.co.uk

Updated 27 Jan 2020

Don’t Quit Early

You remember a couple of weeks ago I told you about a free trial of a football tipping service?

The service was providing tips from a top guy who has been impressing members at the Betting Insiders club, Mark Foley.

Lot's of people joined that free trial.

And then when Mark had a losing first week lot's of people dropped out and those people missed out on some great profits that followed.

Today's message is about not quitting after a couple of losing days and also a last chance to try this service before the price goes up.

This weekend Mark made 23 points profit at level stakes, so for £10 bettors that's £230 in one weekend.

Unfortunately the free trial is no longer available, currently the offer is £1 for 30 days access and the trial price is going up again this weekend.

If you want involvement with some serious Premier League bets for just a pound for the first month and then just £19.99 per month if you continue then click here before Saturday.

Click Here for Football Forecasts £1 Trial

Today's Selection

7.15 Kempton Chauvelin – win bet – 4/1 Sky Bet

Football Tips

Today I have borrowed football analysis and tips from a guy we have all been making huge profits from.

Mark Foley has been posting his football tips in the Betting Insiders forum since September and he has hit some whoppers.

He has now launched a service and is kicking it off with a one month free trial which is available today only.

Here's the link http://footballforecasts.uk

Mark has posted up detailed analysis and tips for three matches today and here is his assessment of the Leicester v Sunderland match…

3.00 KO Leicester v Sunderland

Two struggling teams; Leicester have lost 5 of their last 6 and have failed to score in 5 of those games. Sunderland have only won 2 of the last 6.

Leicester have only won 1 of their 5 home games, but have also only lost one; the away form is the problem, in all but one of their 5 home games both teams have scored, but Leicester are struggling for goals, they have only scored more than one goal in 3 of their last 10 home games and only time they managed more than 2 goals was against Man United’s reserve back four. They have conceded at least one in every PL home game and struggle in the latter part of matches.

The 3 goals Sunderland scored against Palace followed 3 blanks on the trot in away matches, Leicester are better defensively than Palace. I can see this being tight in the first half and Leicester should be able to bag one goal against a defence that has produced plenty of errors in recent weeks, especially if Alloa can rediscover his early season form.

Vito Mannone has made three errors leading directly to goals than any other Premier League player this season. The Black Cats have never won away at Leicester in the Premier League losing three and drawing one of their four visits.

My Bets: (Split stake):

Correct score 1-1: BetVictor 13/2

HT / FT correct score: HT 0-0 / FT 1-1 Powers 16/1

If you want to get the rest of today's tips and get tomorrows and every weekends for a month for free go to http://footballforecasts.uk today!

Free National Hunt System

Thanks for your comments on yesterday's article I have more on the Willie Mullins runners today.

Willie Mullins

The first question asked in the comments was what are the returns if we only back the runners that carry the top jockeys at the most profitable tracks?

Well the answer is that you get a reduction in bets down to just 56 since January 1st 2013 but that you get a return on investment of a healthy 53%, so that's good.

But what I notice when I look at the performance at the various tracks when Ruby or Paul ride is that a lot more tracks move into the profitable side of the table.

And that if we add in those other tracks where a profit has been made then we can get the number of bets up over 200.

In fact we get 229 runs, 109 wins, 64.93 profit and 28.35% Return on Investment.

By the way most of the profit comes from Paul Townend, because when Ruby rides the horse is always overbet and the price starts much shorter 🙁

Anyway here's what we have now (results are from 1st January 2013 to yesterday)

National Hunt, Hurdle Races in Ireland at one of the following courses

Ballinrobe, Fairyhouse, Galway, Leopardstown, Limerick, Naas, Navan, Punchestown,
Sligo, Thurles, Tipperary or Wexford

Horse Trained by Willie Mullins

Horse ridden by Ruby Walsh or Paul Townend

Postion in market equals 1 to 4

Runs = 229
Wins = 109
Strike Rate = 47.6%
Profit at iSP = 64.93
Return on Investment = 28.35%

Today's Selection

6.40 Wolverhampton Deebaj – win bet 11/10 Paddy Power

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