So last week I told you about an article over at Geegeez that put forward the idea of backing Paul Nichols runners who wear headgear for the first time.
So today I have done some research and investigated all the trainers who have been profitable in the past with their runners who were wearing headgear for the first time.
I’m looking at National Hunt only and am looking at horses who are wearing cheekpieces, blinkers or a hood for the first time.
Along the way I discovered a system with a 10,000% ROI!
Ok, I spotted a trainer who in 2014 only had one runner (Viking Rebel) who wore headgear for the first time and that runner won at 100/1.
Although that would make any system look like a winner I have not included it in my system below.
What I have got is a long list of trainers who had at least 10 runners wearing headgear for the first time from January 1st 2013 through to December 31st 2014 and who made a good profit at iSP with those runners.
Runs = 767
Wins = 127
Strike Rate = 16.56%
Profit at industry SP = 405.23
ROI = 52.83%
All the research was done on the data from 2013 and 2014 and if I run that system on 2015 so far it has already made 42 points profit in 2015.
But, here’s the thing!
You could’ve backed every horse that wore headgear for the first time so far this year and made a profit.
I’m going to monitor this for a while and share any bets that come up on this page and then decide what to do with it once we have some live results.
There’s no National Hunt racing today.
3:10 Wolverhampton – Don’t Be – win bet – 10/11 Paddy Power