Tag Archives: stuff

Bookie’s Runners

It is common knowledge within the industry that some of the big players struggle to get their money down and often use runners to get on.

One person in particular who has even written in a book about his team of runners was of course Patrick Veitch.

I've just read a very interesting article in this months Smart Sigger by Peter Phillips, about how bookies runners operate.

Peter says…

Within the major book-makers there are whole departments devoted to trying to identify who these runners are and who they're running for.

I spent five years working for a major bookmaker and was often very impressed with the lengths these runners would go to.

I am obviously unable to divulge specific names, but I can say that there where at least 12 successful running teams at any given time in the UK responsible for hundreds of thousands of pounds per year being placed over the counters of the high street bookmaker. Some of these teams would have up to 20 people spreading bets all over a region.

So how do these teams operate?

Well it seems that they have to place bets at relatively low, £25, stakes. And they have to resort to wearing disguises and even disguising their handwriting on their betting slips!

But the most interesting tactic they use is that of the “guise gamble” which is used to trick the bookmakers and frankly to trick the betting public into making bad bets also!

Here's how Peter describes the Guise Gamble…

Once a few hundred pounds has been placed on a runner, the bookmaker will become alerted to this horse and consequently cut its price in the market.

The runners then allow a period of time for the mug punters to start following the money, and as a consequence the price on the horse that they really want to back is often pushed out to better odds.

They then drive to a different county and using the same technique of small bets spread over many betting shops, they're able to snatch the bigger price and as a consequence have their required margins over the bookmakers.

So essentially they start a fake gamble on a horse they are not interested in, knowing that punters like to get involved in a big gamble.

And that fake gamble will cause all the other prices to increase which will give more value on the real selection.

Devious stuff, hey!

You can get this months Smart Sigger magazine for free here – Click Here.

Today's Selection courtesy of Pure Racing

15.10 Southwell – The Lock Master – win bet – 5/2 Paddy Power, Bet Victor, Sky Bet

AW Winners

The American ConnectionLast year I told you about the American Connection system and I thought it's about time I reminded you about it, because it just keeps throwing up winners.

Here's what I wrote…

Yesterday I downloaded a free system called the American Connection.

It's a micro system that only occasionally has qualifiers and in this case only when there is All Weather racing at Southwell, like today.

The system runs through some stats and stuff but basically the main rule is target US bred horses when they run on the Fibresand at Southwell.

If you haven't been using it this year then you really should.

Here are today's selections from the American Connection.

12:40:00 Southwell 1 Anjuna Beach (USA)
14:40:00 Southwell 2 Ever Fortune (USA)
14:40:00 Southwell 4 Golden Jubilee (USA)

Lay Debutants

12:40:00 Southwell 5 Stun Gun
15:30:00 Lingfield 3 Bigindie (IRE)
15:30:00 Lingfield 8 Silver Songstress
16:50:00 Wolverhampton 8 Mandarin Bar

Lay Handicap

18:50:00 Wolverhampton 10 Hypnotism

Breeders Cup – 14 Points Profit in 2 Days

Watch the video below, it will give you goosebumps!

This Friday and Saturday all eyes will be on the international feast of flat racing which is the Breeders Cup meeting at Santa Anita.

There are fourteen races, spread over the two days, with five on Friday evening and the balance of nine on Saturday.

Twenty European horses are currently still engaged, and plenty of other ex-Europeans.

But as we discovered last year the way to win at the Breeders Cup meeting is not just by having a knowledge of the best European horses.

It's not from knowing who's the best of the US scene, either.

No, to win at this meeting you need to be a connoisseur of the best horses from all corners of the world.

This was nicely demonstrated last year when Carl Nicholson from the Value Backing service said this…

8.46 Calidoscopio 20`1

Argentinean import who should not be underestimated. He will stay the trip well and the form of his 5 length beating at Palermo in May in a Group 1 is top staying form.

Watching this race still gives me goose bumps, even though it's now a year ago and the winnings have long since been spent.

In the video below Calidoscopio is the one that is 10 lengths behind all the others for over three quarters of the race running in the turquoise colours.

It really is the stuff of soppy movies.

Watch the clip and then head over to http://valuebacking.com and join Carl today, on Friday and Saturday he'll be sharing this years Breeders Cup picks.

Over the two days last year Carl made 14 points profit over the 2 days ==> http://valuebacking.com

Lay Debutants

12:50:00 Catterick 8 Oriental Maid
12:50:00 Catterick 5 Vale Mentor (IRE)
13:10:00 Yarmouth 4 Swilken
13:40:00 Yarmouth 2 Astrovirtue
13:40:00 Yarmouth 3 Bourbon Prince
13:40:00 Yarmouth 7 Rock Of Leon
13:40:00 Yarmouth 8 Second Step (IRE)
13:40:00 Yarmouth 9 Sternrubin (GER)
16:30:00 Ffos Las 1 Capilla (IRE)

Today's Selection

3.20 Catterick Naburn – eachway bet – 12/1 Bet Victor

63% ROI Jockey System

This months Betting School Insiders report arrived in the post yesterday and as usual it has given me plenty to think about.

The first thing that has caught my eye is an article looking at Course and Distance winners.

It looked like pretty routine stuff, until that is I got to the bit on jockeys that do well on Course and Distance winners.

I can't share the whole table with you here because that would be pushing our special relationship a bit too far.

But I will tell you about one jockey that has recorded a 63% return on investment when riding course and distance winners.

The man in question is James Doyle and these are his figures going back to 2008 for flat races on turf in the UK where the horse is a course and distance winner.

Runs = 97
Wins = 25
Strike Rate = 25.8%
Profit = +61.47
ROI = + 63.4%

This months Insiders Report lists 10 jockeys that are profitable to follow in these situations and is well worth a look http://bettinginsiders.com

Lay Debutant Selections

16:00:00 Carlisle 4 Lady Bubbles
19:30:00 Galway 12 Hairy Omalley (IRE)

Today's Selection

8.45 Kempton Quintet – win bet – 3/1 Bet 365, Paddy Power, Bet Victor

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