This week Malcolm Pett continues with the development of his place ratings.
Over to Malcolm…
Last week I introduced my new place rating system which has a number of ratings that you can combine in different ways to find selections to place.
In this article I want to go into a little more detail about the ratings and introduce a further 2 ratings which may help a little more.
One of the new columns is marked “MR” which is a little cocktail of mine made up of various bits of information.
I don’t like runners with a minus (-) figure in this column and generally use it to identify the strong runners in the race.
The “Rat 1” column is another strength indicator which I usually look at like this:
0 – Very weak and probably a no bet.
1 to 9 still very week but will look at it combined with other figures.
10 and above is best with into the 30’s being very strong.
I never take a “Qlf 1” selection if it is a minus (-) figure.
50 and above is better although if all the runners are less than this, I may consider the selection.
5 or above is my favourite in “Qlf 2”. I really don’t like anything under 4. A score of 7 tends to be very strong.
I never take a 0 in “Qlf 3” and 1’s are not my favourite either and I really like my runner to be top or equalled top whenever possible.
The “Rating” column is a combination of Qlf1 to Qlf 3 and can be used on its own.
A runner with a score of over 100 is certainly one that should be looked at.
The “NS” rating is another new rating and a score of 10 or better points towards an interesting selection.
These are just guides but they give you some idea of how I feel about each column.
It’s actually interesting because I love statistics but I get a lot of enjoyment using the ratings on a new day and trying to figure out which selections I may go for.
It’s so easy when looking at results to imagine you would have or you wouldn’t have used a selection….
…But it is so different when you are going through the race card in the morning and trying to make a decision on what selections to use.
I tend to stick to the top 2 or 3 ranked runners.
I know they don’t always win or place but I feel I get more success from them than I do other runners.
Although I will admit I haven’t really studied outsiders yet.
I generally look through the cards first of all to see if there are any selections that stand out.
Another method that I like to use is to score a runner based on if it has the highest or joint highest number in a column.
Again only sticking to the top ranked runners I will give 1 point for each column where they score highest or joint highest.
3 or higher is worth considering for a place where a score of 5 or 6, I may consider for a win.
Have a look yourself here.
Thank you as always for reading I really do appreciate it.
1.50 Wetherby Tiptoeaway – 7/1 Bet Victor