Tag Archives: tenner

Football and Racing Tips

I had a bet last night for today's Cheltenham meeting that demonstrates how far you can beat the market by following tipsters who do their own race assessments rather than waiting for markets to form and letting those markets influence their decisions.

At 5pm yesterday the Racing consultants sent their members a note telling them to get on a horse that was available at 8/1 and that on their assessment should be much shorter.

I had my little tenner on with Bet 365 and now the horse is 5/1 with Bet 365 and best priced 11/2.

This horse might lose, but to me it will be remembered as a good bet whether it wins or loses because it is my strong opinion that you should judge your bets by how much you beat starting price not by whether they win or lose.

This might sound crazy to some readers. But others will know that if you keep beating starting price by big margins that the profits will take care of themselves.

I'm going to give you the bet and the full assessment in a minute, but first I'd like to recommend that whether it wins or loses that if you are serious about winning that you join the Racing Consultants service.

These guys send out bets like this one on a regular basis and they beat the market.

http://racingconsultants.co.uk

By the way they sent another one at 5.20, but I'm not allowed to give that one, but if you join them you can get immediate access.

Here's the race assessment and bet…

2.25 FREEBETS.COM TROPHY CHASE (2M5F)

“Little Jon impressed me enough as a hurdler last year despite his build and background suggesting he’d be much better over fences, and he proved the point at the first time of asking at Newton Abbot in October, giving weight and a beating to the Paul Nicholls-trained Solar Impulse.

That preceded a trio of runs in higher company here, and the bottom line is that the long-striding son of Pasternak hasn’t beaten another rival.

That said, he actually ran a cracker when a close third over 2m in November, and has crashed out when leading on his next two starts.

Despite those aberrations, he appeals as a pretty sound jumper, if inclined to take the occasional fence (or indeed wing) on.

The upside of his failures is that he’s not revealed the full extent of his ability, and therefore the handicapper hasn’t been as severe as he might have been, accepting that an opening mark of 140 is no gimme.

Main opposition comes primarily in the shape of Easter Day for Paul Nicholls, and he can’t be ruled out of calculations, for all his odds will be skinny enough.

More interesting at the forecast prices is Annacotty, who was second in the novice handicap on this card last year. He was another who couldn’t cope with the demands of the Hennessy first time out, but he’s reportedly been perked up by a spell hunting, and also has cheekpieces fitted, so should have no excuses.

He was a Grade 1 winner last year, and that fact shouldn’t be overlooked.

2.25 Chel – 2pts win Little Jon @ 8/1 (Bet365)”

As mentioned above current best price is 11/2 with Skybet, Bet Victor, Paddy Power

Football Perm

We had a win last week with The Alternative Punters Syndicate (Free Trial Here)
and this week I've gone with their home wins perm…

Top Rated ‘Best 6 Homes'
(Perm any 5 from 6 plus all 6 = 7 bets)
TOTTENHAM
NORWICH
WATFORD
WOLVES
MK DONS
BARNET
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Coral

Goodwood and Galway – Tips

It's an exciting and busy week in the world of racing with the Goodwood Festival this side of the sea and the Galway Festival over in Ireland.

Below I have an angle and selection for you at Goodwood. But first I want to tell you how you can get selections for every race at Galway and Goodwood for just a tenner.

Carl Nicholson's Value Backing Daily service bets through the card at meetings every day and this week they will have selections in every race at Galway and Goodwood.

Each meeting costs 1 Value Backing credit to access and credits can be bought for as little as 59 pence each if bought in bulk. But even at full cost of just £1 each that is only £9 for every race at Goodwood and Galway this week.

Buy your credits or log in here http://valuebacking.com/daily

Now I have an angle and stats from Nick Hardman of Betting School Insiders. Nick will be analysing every race at Goodwood this week and these races will be discussed in the Betting School members area – http://bettinginsiders.com.

 

I’ve been looking at the performance of outright favourites at Goodwood and uncovered a useful pointer for the coming festival. Backing favourites blindly is the road to ruin but the performance of 2yo favourites in 5f and 6f non-handicap races at Goodwood shows a terrific strike rate.

Goodwood: 2010 – 2014
Race distance: 5f and 6f (non-handicaps)
Age: 2yo
Outright favourites

Goodwood Outright Favourites

Most of those favourites have been provided by the Hannon yard:

Hannon Favourites

Those Hannon favourites ridden by Richard Hughes show a fantastic strike rate:

Hannon - Hughes Favourites

Hannon and Hughes team up on Beacon in the Molecombe Stakes on Tuesday at 2.30pm. I expect this one to go off as favourite.

Today's Selection

Goodwood 2.30 Beacon – win bet – 10/11 Will Hill

Early Season Trainers

Well yesterday blindly backing stall 2 at Pontefract made a big profit, but our selection who was out of stall 2 finished nowhere 🙁

But from 6 races Stall 2 had wins at 4/1, 1/1, 8/1 so a tenner on each race would have returned £160, £100 profit.

There was also a 2nd at 9/2.

The next meeting at Pontefract is on April 30th.

Last week we put up our early season trainers system and I've just seen that Kieran at Make Your Betting Pay has put up a similar post.

One of his trainers also features on our list, but he has two that aren't.

Kieran advices backing Roger Charlton trained horses in April and May and also Ralph Beckett charges.

Get the full story here http://makeyourbettingpay.co.uk

Today's Selection

4.30 Southwell Kerbaaj – eachway bet – 18/1 Bet Victor, Sky Bet

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