Tag Archives: Thurles

Multiple Bets

I've never been one for multiple bets!

I suppose the lower strike rate puts me off and the general feeling that they are mug bets, loved by bookmakers.

I've always known that if you have value bets that you multiply the value with a multiple bet, but I've never been tempted until recently.

The reason I'm into them now is because a couple of the tipping services here have been using each way Doubles and Trixies to great effect.

These guys have been hitting a good few wins and when they come off these bets pay big 🙂

Here's an example double from Gary Poole's Bookies Enemy No1 service…

Epson Hill – Won 13/2

Online Alexander – Won 9/1

Paid £814.40 for £20 staked (£10 eachway double)

Here's another from Gary where they all placed second, but the bet still made a great return…

American Hope – 2nd 10/1

Gold Dream – 2nd 14/1

Don't Bother Me – 2nd 22/1

Paid £404.50 for £40 staked (£5 eachway trixie)

And it's not just Bookies Enemy that is exploiting these bets. The Racing Consultants know the power of the eachway multiple.

Here's one of theirs that was nearly massive but still won big with two wins and a place…

Slade Power – Won 4/1

Baccarat – Won 12/1

Toscanini – 2nd 11/2

Paid 497.50 for £40 staked (£5 eachway trixie)

If you want to be involved with bets like these the easiest way is to join one of these services and profit from their hard work.

But if you don't like paying for tipsters then there is an excellent article in the February On Course Profit mag that explains how to do it for yourself.

Links

The Racing Consultants

Bookies Enemy No1

On Course Profit

Today's Selection

 
14:05 Thurles Down Ace – win bet – 13/8 Betway

Willie Mullins Update

Today we have two selections from the Willie Mullins systems I published on October 28th.

So today I have looked at how the system has performed since publication.

There have only been nine bets and they were…

18.11.2014 Wexford Measureofmydreams Won (RW)
18.11.2014 Wexford Aminabad Won (RW)
16.11.2014 Punchestown Hurricane Fly Won (RW)
15.11.2014 Punchestown River Run 2nd (RW)
15.11.2014 Punchestown Tarabiyn 2nd (RW)
9.11.2014 Limerick Uranna 3rd (PT)
9.11.2014 Limerick Lucky Bridle Won (PT)
9.11.2014 Navan Zaidpour Won (RW)
9.11.2014 Navan Uradel Lost (RW)

There were five wins which gives a strike rate of 55% and the wins have returned industry SP's of 2/9, Evens, 15/8, 2/7, 8/13 which actually gives a break even profit and loss.

At Betfair SP the winners returned 2.09, 1.26, 3.24, 1.28,1.62 which gives a 0.49 point profit before commission and a 0.26 point profit with 5% commission paid.

So not setting the world on fire but on the right track.

The letters in brackets indicate which jockey rode, Ruby Walsh or Paul Townend.

You can read the original article here…

http://dailypunt.com/free-national-hunt-system-2/

And the selections the system has thrown up today are…

1:25 Thurles Bosman Rule
2:00 Thurles Valyssa Monterg

Free National Hunt System

Thanks for your comments on yesterday's article I have more on the Willie Mullins runners today.

Willie Mullins

The first question asked in the comments was what are the returns if we only back the runners that carry the top jockeys at the most profitable tracks?

Well the answer is that you get a reduction in bets down to just 56 since January 1st 2013 but that you get a return on investment of a healthy 53%, so that's good.

But what I notice when I look at the performance at the various tracks when Ruby or Paul ride is that a lot more tracks move into the profitable side of the table.

And that if we add in those other tracks where a profit has been made then we can get the number of bets up over 200.

In fact we get 229 runs, 109 wins, 64.93 profit and 28.35% Return on Investment.

By the way most of the profit comes from Paul Townend, because when Ruby rides the horse is always overbet and the price starts much shorter 🙁

Anyway here's what we have now (results are from 1st January 2013 to yesterday)

National Hunt, Hurdle Races in Ireland at one of the following courses

Ballinrobe, Fairyhouse, Galway, Leopardstown, Limerick, Naas, Navan, Punchestown,
Sligo, Thurles, Tipperary or Wexford

Horse Trained by Willie Mullins

Horse ridden by Ruby Walsh or Paul Townend

Postion in market equals 1 to 4

Runs = 229
Wins = 109
Strike Rate = 47.6%
Profit at iSP = 64.93
Return on Investment = 28.35%

Today's Selection

6.40 Wolverhampton Deebaj – win bet 11/10 Paddy Power

Free National Hunt System

Short and sweet message today.

We have another free system for you, this one is for the National Hunt and it has a Return on Investment of 90%, with a 34% strike rate.

And it's from somebody I know and trust, a handsome boy he is to 🙂

It's super simple and it's yours for free today.

Go to http://trainertrends.co.uk/statmans-finest/ collect your system and see the face of a hero of stats based betting.

Lay Debutants

12:30:00 Market Rasen 13 Think Out Loud
15:35:00 Thurles 7 Poster Boy (IRE)
15:35:00 Thurles 10 The Black Tara

Lay Handicap

12:50:00 Wincanton 13 Ricketyrock
15:05:00 Thurles 21 Merry In Moscow (IRE)
18:10:00 Kempton 6 Tasrih (USA)

Today's Selections (courtesy of Hawk Eye Tips – Join the waiting list here)

Kempton 6.40 Lowther 1pt win @ 12'1 BetFred

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