Tag Archives: Tottenham

Football and Racing Tips

I had a bet last night for today's Cheltenham meeting that demonstrates how far you can beat the market by following tipsters who do their own race assessments rather than waiting for markets to form and letting those markets influence their decisions.

At 5pm yesterday the Racing consultants sent their members a note telling them to get on a horse that was available at 8/1 and that on their assessment should be much shorter.

I had my little tenner on with Bet 365 and now the horse is 5/1 with Bet 365 and best priced 11/2.

This horse might lose, but to me it will be remembered as a good bet whether it wins or loses because it is my strong opinion that you should judge your bets by how much you beat starting price not by whether they win or lose.

This might sound crazy to some readers. But others will know that if you keep beating starting price by big margins that the profits will take care of themselves.

I'm going to give you the bet and the full assessment in a minute, but first I'd like to recommend that whether it wins or loses that if you are serious about winning that you join the Racing Consultants service.

These guys send out bets like this one on a regular basis and they beat the market.

http://racingconsultants.co.uk

By the way they sent another one at 5.20, but I'm not allowed to give that one, but if you join them you can get immediate access.

Here's the race assessment and bet…

2.25 FREEBETS.COM TROPHY CHASE (2M5F)

“Little Jon impressed me enough as a hurdler last year despite his build and background suggesting he’d be much better over fences, and he proved the point at the first time of asking at Newton Abbot in October, giving weight and a beating to the Paul Nicholls-trained Solar Impulse.

That preceded a trio of runs in higher company here, and the bottom line is that the long-striding son of Pasternak hasn’t beaten another rival.

That said, he actually ran a cracker when a close third over 2m in November, and has crashed out when leading on his next two starts.

Despite those aberrations, he appeals as a pretty sound jumper, if inclined to take the occasional fence (or indeed wing) on.

The upside of his failures is that he’s not revealed the full extent of his ability, and therefore the handicapper hasn’t been as severe as he might have been, accepting that an opening mark of 140 is no gimme.

Main opposition comes primarily in the shape of Easter Day for Paul Nicholls, and he can’t be ruled out of calculations, for all his odds will be skinny enough.

More interesting at the forecast prices is Annacotty, who was second in the novice handicap on this card last year. He was another who couldn’t cope with the demands of the Hennessy first time out, but he’s reportedly been perked up by a spell hunting, and also has cheekpieces fitted, so should have no excuses.

He was a Grade 1 winner last year, and that fact shouldn’t be overlooked.

2.25 Chel – 2pts win Little Jon @ 8/1 (Bet365)”

As mentioned above current best price is 11/2 with Skybet, Bet Victor, Paddy Power

Football Perm

We had a win last week with The Alternative Punters Syndicate (Free Trial Here)
and this week I've gone with their home wins perm…

Top Rated ‘Best 6 Homes'
(Perm any 5 from 6 plus all 6 = 7 bets)
TOTTENHAM
NORWICH
WATFORD
WOLVES
MK DONS
BARNET
The best overall odds* for the ‘Best 6 Homes' are available with…

Coral

Football Forecasts

I've got more free tips for you today from a service that has made over 50 points profit in December.

Mark Foley knows the Premier League inside out which is obvious by the detailed analysis that his members get for every match that he analyses.

Today he has bets in three matches and below I have shared his analysis and bets for the Stoke v Man U game.

If you want instant access to the other two games you can join his service for a trial price of £9.99 for the first month.

http://footballforecasts.uk

Stoke City v Manchester United 12.45 KO Skysports 1

Manchester United have a good record in this match, they have won 11 and lost just one of their 13 League meetings with Stoke City. They have won five and lost just one of their last seven away games in all competitions against Stoke, but Stoke are looking solid at the moment and will record three successive Premier League clean sheets for only the second time if they keep United at bay today.

United have played 5 of the teams currently in the bottom half of the table and they haven’t beaten any of them. Stoke really get up for these games, they are notoriously difficult to beat at The Britannia if you are one of the top teams and are in decent form; they held Chelsea to a single goal for over an hour and have recently beaten Arsenal and Everton.

United have by far the bigger squad, but have been badly affected by injuries and the manager admitted that they were running on empty in the 2nd half against Spurs on Sunday. United have only gone in once at Half time leading away from home this season and half of their matches home and away have either been 0-0 or 1-1 at Half time. Six of Stoke’s home games have had no more than one goal in the first 45. I can see this being 0-0 at half time and either ending as a draw or Stoke pulling off a shock. United’s home form and that of David De Gea is disguising the fact that they have been relatively poor away from home. Powers are running a Money Back Special if this ends 0-0, do I’m concentrating on the correct score and first goal scorer markets.

Rooney has scored five goals in his last seven Premier League appearances, but only one of them has come away from home, so I’m happy to pass him over for the first goal.

Peter Crouch has scored only twice in 20 Premier League appearances against Man Utd but both have come for Stoke, we know he likes to get an early goal.
Robin van Persie has scored 10 goals in 10 Premier League appearances against the Potters, including four in five for Manchester United and is the only United player to have scored more than one goal away from home this season.

My Bets:
(All with Paddy Power, Money back special if the match ends 0-0)

Correct score Stoke 1-0: Powers MBS 10/1
Correct score Stoke 2-1: Powers MBS 11/1
Correct score Draw 1-1: Powers MBS 11/2
1st goal scorer P Crouch: Powers MBS 7/1
1st goal scorer R Van Persie: Powers MBS 4/1

Also considered:
Draw/Draw Widely available 9/2
Draw/Stoke Widely available 8/1

For Mark's analysis of Aston Villa V Crystal Palace (15:00) and Tottenham v Chelsea (17:30) join here…

http://footballforecasts.uk

Saturday Racing and Football

Today we have football bets from The Alternative Punters Syndicate and racing thoughts from Peter Hawkeye.

We'll start off with football.

You can trial the TAPS racing and football service for a full month for free here.

http://dailypunt.com/taps

Top Rated ‘Best 5 Aways'
(Perm any 3 from 5 plus all 5 = 11 bets)

TOTTENHAM
WOLVES
PRESTON
HEARTS
CLYDE

The best overall odds* for the ‘Best 5 Aways' are available with…
VCBet

This will return just under £110 for £1 stakes.

Hawkeye Tips

Trial the Hawkeye Tips service for one month for just £7.99.

Goto http://dailypunt.com/hawkeye

The draw at Chester is always to the fore when any race takes place there.

But sometimes this is overplayed from the bookies, because they just think anything drawn wide must be at a big disadvantage.

This is not always the case, because if a horses race style is to be held up then a draw can have little impact on that horses overall chance.

Yes you will still need the breaks to run through the field, but that would be the same in any race with any draw.

The only difference being that the tight nature of Chester could make this a little more tricky.

I do think today Angelito in the 4.45 at the venue is a case in point and as such the 12’1 with a few bookies looks generous.

It’s The Weekend :-)

It's the weekend and there's a lot to look forward to.

On Sunday my beloved Norwich City will beat Chelsea to snatch premiership survival from the jaws of the Championship. Please let it be so…

I know, we need other results to go our way also 🙁

But before that we have another rolled over scoop 6, with a £5 Million pool.

The Mathematician is making a big permed entry again and if you sign up for their day pass you can share the win, if they win. Click Here for the Math Day Pass

If you prefer to go it alone, then place your Scoop 6 bet with Betfred and they will give you a free £2 bet, so effectively you get your Scoop 6 entry for free – Click Here for Betfred.

Football Selections – courtesy of TAPS ( Free 1 Month Trial Click Here )

Top Rated ‘Best 5 Aways'
(Perm any 3 from 5 plus all 5 = 11 bets)
MAN CITY
TOTTENHAM
QPR
KILMARNOCK
STENHOUSEMUIR

The best overall odds* for the ‘Best 5 Aways' are available with…
VCBet

Today's TV Selection

Goodwood 2.55 Magic City – Win Bet 7/2 Bet Victor

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