Good morning all,
Plenty of top class racing action last week with the three day York Dane Festival which was a bit of a punting nightmare for me personally due to the rain that fell in midweek. Those of you have been following my “One For the Tracker” feature in this column were rewarded with a 12/1 winner on Wednesday with the win of Master Carpenter but sadly that was the only highlight of York for me.
This is what I wrote about the horse after his run in the Lincoln Handicap.
“Master Carpenter trained by Rod Millman didn’t have a great 2016 and hasn’t won a race since landing valuable John Smiths Cup at York over 1m 2f back in the Summer of 2015. He was set some stiff tasks in listed and group company last season but starts this one off a 5lb lower mark than his York win. The 6 year old wasn’t helped by his draw on the stands side with most of the action being middle to low. He ran better than his 12th placing suggests though as he was only beaten 4 lengths at the finish and was noted staying on nicely enough at the finish despite his high draw. He is back down to a winning mark and I think there are races in him, especially when he steps back up in trip”.
Galileo Gold Gets Lockinge Ribbing
The Richard Fahey trained Ribchester put up a cracking performance to win the Lockinge Stakes. The choice of a pacemaker which seemed a good idea for the four year old who can have problems settling in his races, hit trouble at the start as Toscanini was very slowly away. Still Plan B worked as he settled nicely out in front and made all for an excellent win. If he continues to settle he will be worth trying at 1m 2f sometime this season. Until then he is now clearly the best older miler in training and has probably improved from three to four. Royal Ascot now looks firmly on the agenda for the colt.
Last years 2000 Guineas winner Galileo Gold has to prove he has trained on and he was also much too keen in the early stages of the race. In his defence the Hugo Palmer trained horses haven’t been in flying form of late so when the stable is in better form we could see a better performance by the horse but he has some serious questions to answer for now. The Aiden O’Brien filly Somehow was well backed before the race but was up to this grade against the colts and Aclaim probably found a mile on soft ground just a bit too far.
One For The Tracker:
This week’s horse for your trackers is more a horse for a particular race, that race being next months Ascot Gold Cup.
Simple Verse, the 2015 St Leger heroine was campaigned in the early part of last season over 1m 4f but her best two runs of last season came when winning the 1m 6 ½ f Park Hill Stakes back at Doncaster and then she ran just as well when staying on to take 3rd in the 2m Long Distance Cup on Champions Day at Ascot. The five year old made her seasonal reappearance in the Yorkshire Cup and almost made it a winning one and was just caught in the shadow of the post by Dartmouth.
Ground versatile the mare is very effective on ground quicker than she faced last week – 4 wins from 6 runs 6 places on good or good to firm going and she is also 4 wins from 7 runs 6 places when racing 31 to 60 days since her last start. The Gold Cup looks her next target and after the race her trainer Ralph Beckett said “I’ve no doubt she’ll stay”. The Aiden O’Brien trained Order of St George is the ante post favourite for next months big staying prize but underestimate Simple Verse who could still make up into a top class stayer. I have had a nibble at her ante post for the Gold Cup and for those who are interested in joining me she can still be backed at 14/1 with William Hill and Stan James which looks excellent each way value to me!
Trainer Ralph Beckett does well in three year old handicaps at Leicester being – 5 winners from 24 runners 21% +13.38 A/E 1.15 10 places 42% but if we just focus in on his handicap debutants at the course he is – 4 winners from 10 runners 40% +14.38 A/E 2.02 6 places 60%. He runs one such runner today in the filly Subatomic who won her final start as a two year old here last October on good to soft going. The extra furlong should suit and she handles cut in the ground. Plenty in her favour although she isn’t much of a price.
8:05 – Subatomic – 3/1 or better
All that’s left now is to wish you a profitable weeks punting.
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