Today we have a guest article from Clive Keeling of What Really Wins Money (WRWM).
WRWM is a monthly newsletter which shares betting strategies every month.
Get full details here – http://whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk
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In-Play is where it pays.
The Football Season is upon and I am delighted already, simply because Man City got stuffed by Crystal Palace.
I still made money in this match by laying Crystal Palace 3-1 up at odds of 1.02. City scored a 90th minute goal to bring the Palace odds up to 1.18 allowing for a swift and profitable trade, with minimal risk.
And that’s not been the only end of match highlight this season. Don’t invite me round for tea because I’ll only bore you with stories of how I backed Benfica at odds of 120 ( 119/1 in old money) and actually won.
Take a gander at this thing of beauty…
I backed Benfica at odds of 4.60, 120 and 27 and came out of the match £389.58 richer.
A whopping £238 of that profit was made with a £2 stake.
So how was it done?
It was a feat as magical as anything Paul Daniels and the Lovely Debbie Magee ever managed.
There were 3 components here…
- Research ( context)
- In-Play Betting
- 85th+ minute betting
Research
I research all football matches I consider betting in, and so should you.
It goes without saying.
Research here pointed to a Benfica side who had lost their first match of the new Portugeuse season.
I bracketed the word Context because this is important.
Last season, Benfica only lost one match all season.
Already this season they have lost their first match and are losing 0-1 at home to Gil Vicente.
To lose the opening 2 matches of the season, when they only lost one match all last season was tantamount to gifting the Portugeuse title to Porto already!
In-Play Betting.
Betting pre-kick off. Pah!
That’s Old Skool , kick it to the kerb girlfriend!
You will consistently get better value waiting for a match to go in-play.
Remember this – there are no foregone conclusions ever and there is no such thing as a sure thing.
Ask 1.25 shots Benfica!
Teams odds will rise and fall dramatically in-play over 90 minutes.
Bet pre kick off if you want, but I’m here you tell you, you can skyrocket your profits in-play.
85th+ Minute
I already alluded to this with the Palace v City match. I would urge you to add this little niche into your football betting portfolio.
Last minute betting in in-play football matches offers you the odds you’ve only ever dreamt of.
So back to Benfica.
Let’s look at the scoreline.
The winning Benfica goals were actually scored in the 92nd and 93rd minutes.
I know because I was following the match and I distinctly remember doing an embarrassing drunken-dad-at-wedding dance when Lima scored the winner.
And if you think this is an isolated incident, let me take you to France.
A certain Paris St Germain were 1.2 shots to beat Guincamp at home.
It was 0-0 at halftime.
It was 0-0 in the 89th minute.
And yes, you guessed it, PSG won 2-0.
I missed this particular pay day thanks to my oh-so-considerate girlfriend insisting we go out!
Last season, I layed the draw in one Olympiakos match at odds of 1.04, and won, and layed the 0-0 correct score in another Olympiakos match at odds of 1.14 and won.
So instead of tuning in at 3pm on a Saturday, tune in at 440pm , check out the scorelines and see if there are any potential shock results which you can exploit by backing and laying on Betfair.
Your risk is small, your potential reward massive.
Who knows? Maybe you’ll be the next person to nab that elusive 100+/1 winning bet!
Clive Keeling – http://whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk
Lay Debutants
I'm pleased to say we had our first losing bet yesterday. Pleased because we have taken the hit and are still well in profit. Here are today's.
14:30:00 Haydock 7 Sitting Pritty (IRE)
15:10:00 Newcastle 1 Chessfield Park
18:50:00 Kempton 7 Laugharne
18:50:00 Kempton 9 Literally On Fire (IRE)
18:50:00 Kempton 12 Rochambeau (IRE)
19:20:00 Kempton 5 Hesbaan (IRE)
20:20:00 Kempton 4 Mia San Triple
Today's Selection
6.20 Kempton Ocean Tempest – eachway bet – 6/1 Bet 365, Boylesports