I had a bet last night for today's Cheltenham meeting that demonstrates how far you can beat the market by following tipsters who do their own race assessments rather than waiting for markets to form and letting those markets influence their decisions.
At 5pm yesterday the Racing consultants sent their members a note telling them to get on a horse that was available at 8/1 and that on their assessment should be much shorter.
I had my little tenner on with Bet 365 and now the horse is 5/1 with Bet 365 and best priced 11/2.
This horse might lose, but to me it will be remembered as a good bet whether it wins or loses because it is my strong opinion that you should judge your bets by how much you beat starting price not by whether they win or lose.
This might sound crazy to some readers. But others will know that if you keep beating starting price by big margins that the profits will take care of themselves.
I'm going to give you the bet and the full assessment in a minute, but first I'd like to recommend that whether it wins or loses that if you are serious about winning that you join the Racing Consultants service.
These guys send out bets like this one on a regular basis and they beat the market.
http://racingconsultants.co.uk
By the way they sent another one at 5.20, but I'm not allowed to give that one, but if you join them you can get immediate access.
Here's the race assessment and bet…
2.25 FREEBETS.COM TROPHY CHASE (2M5F)
“Little Jon impressed me enough as a hurdler last year despite his build and background suggesting he’d be much better over fences, and he proved the point at the first time of asking at Newton Abbot in October, giving weight and a beating to the Paul Nicholls-trained Solar Impulse.
That preceded a trio of runs in higher company here, and the bottom line is that the long-striding son of Pasternak hasn’t beaten another rival.
That said, he actually ran a cracker when a close third over 2m in November, and has crashed out when leading on his next two starts.
Despite those aberrations, he appeals as a pretty sound jumper, if inclined to take the occasional fence (or indeed wing) on.
The upside of his failures is that he’s not revealed the full extent of his ability, and therefore the handicapper hasn’t been as severe as he might have been, accepting that an opening mark of 140 is no gimme.
Main opposition comes primarily in the shape of Easter Day for Paul Nicholls, and he can’t be ruled out of calculations, for all his odds will be skinny enough.
More interesting at the forecast prices is Annacotty, who was second in the novice handicap on this card last year. He was another who couldn’t cope with the demands of the Hennessy first time out, but he’s reportedly been perked up by a spell hunting, and also has cheekpieces fitted, so should have no excuses.
He was a Grade 1 winner last year, and that fact shouldn’t be overlooked.
2.25 Chel – 2pts win Little Jon @ 8/1 (Bet365)”
As mentioned above current best price is 11/2 with Skybet, Bet Victor, Paddy Power
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