Following on from Monday’s article today I’m going to look at some stats from Champion Jockey Tony McCoy.
By the way yesterdays eachway bet that placed second was from the system we created on Monday.
Ok, so backing all of Tony’s mounts would as you’d expect returns a loss, but not as a big a loss as I expected at 15% of stakes lost.
If we break that down by race type we see that Hurdles perform best with an excellent 27% strike rate from all hurdle start and a loss of just 11%.
At this stage of my research I was pondering where to go next and looking down the list of factors and say ‘Going’.
My first thought was that, that is a factor that depends more on the particular horse than the jockey, but then I pictured AP pumping away, driving a tired horse home and thought I bet he does better in Heavy going than other jocks. And he does.
Over the last two years backing all of McCoys Hurdle rides on Heavy going has produced a 25% ROI and a 31% strike rate.
However over the long term this strategy has been pretty much break even, so maybe something to keep in mind rather than to bet blindly.
For today I’m going to wrap up with a look at how he performs for different trainers.
My thoughts are that as I’ve said for previous jockeys that I would expect them to be a losing proposition for their own stable rides, just because they have to ride everything and that seems to be the case with Jonjo O Neill rides showing a loss.
The table below shows every Hurdle ride since January 1st 2013 and I’ve sorted it by ROI to help spot the trainers who make a profit when they book the real McCoy.
2:00 Ludlow Sin Bin – win bet – 4/1 Bet Victor