Tag Archives: investment

Being flexible added 8% ROI

Malcolm Pett's Wednesday column
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I have always liked to think of myself as a “Flexible” thinker.

In other words I am ready to change my opinion if I feel there is enough evidence to convince me that another way is better.

Sometimes I have to admit that I can be a little too quick to change my opinion but I suppose I would rather be that way, than to stubborn to change it at all.

Don’t get me wrong I have very strong belief’s about some things, it’s just I like to be flexible about others.

For instance I am a dog obedience and trick trainer and over the years I have learned the best way to train is “reward” based training.

It’s quick and it works and dogs respond to it well.

So I am totally against using any device or training method that causes a dog distress or harm or even looks like it could.

Sorry you won’t convince me otherwise!

But on the other hand…

I have been talking about the “Interactive” ratings that we are testing over at the Grey Horse Bot website for the last month.

I came up with a rating as 220 as being the best figure to follow.

But now on reflection and more testing I think 260 is the better number.

It’s not quite as profitable as 220 (by a very small margin) …

…But there are 3 good reasons for choosing 260

1. A higher strike rate.

2. Less selections

3. A higher Roi.

Although taking all the selections into consideration over the last 
3 months 220 has made 38.63 points, 260 has made 38.59.

Hardly anything in it…

But you would have been on fewer selections, which would have given 
you a higher strike rate and a better return on your investment.

The strike rate difference is over 4% and the ROI is 8% better.

So in this case it seems sensible to change from 220 to 260.

But that is the really good thing about this test it has allowed users to decide which rating suits them.

I do have to have a little giggle to myself though when after all I have written about these ratings I still get the question…

“What is the best rating to follow?”

Well at least I now have an answer…

If you want to follow along with the test then pop over to the Grey Horse Bot website.

Maybe you have another opinion…

It would be great to hear it.

Thanks
Malcolm

http://greyhorsebot.com

Today's Selection

14:30 Chelmsford City Indias Song – win bet – 9/4 Sky Bet

Odds On National Hunt Trainers System

Carrying on from yesterdays National Hunt Jockeys system today we have our Odds On National Hunt Trainers System.

The rules are simply to back the charges of the trainers listed below when they run in a National Hunt race in October to March, where they start at 6/4 or shorter.

The results for 2014 were as follows…

Runs = 398
Wins = 249
Strike Rate = 62%
Profit at industry SP =69.79
Return on Investment = 17.53%

The Trainers to follow are…

Trainer Data
Trainer
Bailey, K C Bromhead, Henry De
Elliott, Gordon Ferguson, J P
Fry, Harry Hobbs, P J
King, A King, N B
Longsdon, C E McCain Jnr, D
Meade, Noel Newland, Dr R D P
Quinn, J J Richards, N G
Skelton, Daniel Twiston-Davies, N A
Vaughan, Tim Williams, Evan

 

There is a qualifier today

12:35 Wetherby Devilment – win bet – 1/2 Paddy Power

Odds On National Hunt Jockeys

Our odds on All Weather jockeys that we posted last week are nicely in profit, with the trainers showing a small loss, of less than one point.

Early days yet for those and time will tell if they do as well as the flat odds on jockeys and trainers.

Today carrying on the theme I have an Odds On National Hunt Jockeys system for you.

The rules for these are to follow them only during the main National Hunt season from October to March and to back them when their ride starts at 6/4 or shorter.

The results for 2014, which will be the end of one season and the beginning of the current season were as follows…

Runs = 330
Wins = 199
Strike Rate = 60%
Profit at industry SP =42.29
Return on Investment = 12.82%

The jockeys to follow are…

Jockey Data
Jockey
Byrne, Michael Cooper, Bryan J
Hutchinson, Wayne Johnson, Richard
Maguire, Jason Moloney, Paul
Mullins, Mr P W ORegan, Denis
Renwick, Wilson Reveley, James
Scholfield, Nick Skelton, Harry
Walsh, M P Whelan, Trevor

 

Today's Selection

4:20 Exeter Nitrogen – win bet – 11/10 Bet Victor, Bet365

Odds On Trainers

So last week I shared my new Odds On Jockey system for All Weather racing and since I posted it there have been three winners from four selections and a profit at industry SP of 3.25 points, so we're off to a good start.

Today I'll run you through the equally simple Odds On Trainer system for the All Weather.

So basically we are looking for horses that are running on the All Weather that start at 6/4 or shorter that are trained by one of the trainers I have listed below.

These guys produced a 36 point profit in 2014 and are in form with their All Weather runners.

Here's the full 2014 results breakdown…

Runs = 234
Wins = 144
Strike Rate = 61%
Profit at industry SP =36.65
Return On Investment = 15.6%

The Trainers to Follow

Balding, A M Burke, K R
Butler, John Gosden, J H M
Halford, M Hannon (Jnr), Richard
Littmoden, N P Noseda, J
Ryan, K A Simcock, D M
Stoute, Sir Michael Varian, Roger
Walker, Ed

 

Today's Selection

5.55 Wolverhampton Oratorio's Joy – eachway bet – 5/1 Paddy Power, Bet Victor

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