Mr Nico de Boinville!
There’s a lot of interesting articles online about Nico de Boinville, how he came from a privileged background, about the alternate careers he could have had, acting, city banker etc.
But none of that is of much interest to us.
What is of interest though is that Nico de Boinville makes a level stakes profit at industry starting prices if you bet all his mounts to win.
At least he has over the last three years.
The profit is getting a little tighter now because he’s had some high profile wins and his ability is better known by the betting public.
His day job, as it were, is with Nicky Henderson and that’s where most of his profit has come from with 70 rides since January 2013 and 21 wins for a 44% ROI.
But he has had more outside rides than he has rides for Nicky H so we’ll look at all rides in the last two years to see where he’s done best.
First up he’s an SP loser over the big obstacles but a big winner over hurdles.
It would seem that he is over bet in his Chases, I don’t know why that would be because his strike rate is the same but the ROI for Chases is minus 33% and for Hurdles is plus 66%.
The data is scant, but looking at what we have I’d tend towards dropping big field races and so I’m looking at under 14 runners.
The dataset is getting small now with just over 100 runs in the last to years, so I’m going to leave it at that.
We may be a little late to the Nico de Boinville party but I still think this is a jockey we should be following.
And in the past two years if we had backed all his rides over hurdles in fields of less than 14 we would have had the following results…
Runs = 118
Wins = 25
Strike Rate = 21%
Profit at iSP = 118.96
ROI = 100%
12.25 Southwell – Best Tamayuz – win bet 2/1 Bet 365