Tag Archives: Michael

Odds On National Hunt Jockeys

Our odds on All Weather jockeys that we posted last week are nicely in profit, with the trainers showing a small loss, of less than one point.

Early days yet for those and time will tell if they do as well as the flat odds on jockeys and trainers.

Today carrying on the theme I have an Odds On National Hunt Jockeys system for you.

The rules for these are to follow them only during the main National Hunt season from October to March and to back them when their ride starts at 6/4 or shorter.

The results for 2014, which will be the end of one season and the beginning of the current season were as follows…

Runs = 330
Wins = 199
Strike Rate = 60%
Profit at industry SP =42.29
Return on Investment = 12.82%

The jockeys to follow are…

Jockey Data
Jockey
Byrne, Michael Cooper, Bryan J
Hutchinson, Wayne Johnson, Richard
Maguire, Jason Moloney, Paul
Mullins, Mr P W ORegan, Denis
Renwick, Wilson Reveley, James
Scholfield, Nick Skelton, Harry
Walsh, M P Whelan, Trevor

 

Today's Selection

4:20 Exeter Nitrogen – win bet – 11/10 Bet Victor, Bet365

Odds On Trainers

So last week I shared my new Odds On Jockey system for All Weather racing and since I posted it there have been three winners from four selections and a profit at industry SP of 3.25 points, so we're off to a good start.

Today I'll run you through the equally simple Odds On Trainer system for the All Weather.

So basically we are looking for horses that are running on the All Weather that start at 6/4 or shorter that are trained by one of the trainers I have listed below.

These guys produced a 36 point profit in 2014 and are in form with their All Weather runners.

Here's the full 2014 results breakdown…

Runs = 234
Wins = 144
Strike Rate = 61%
Profit at industry SP =36.65
Return On Investment = 15.6%

The Trainers to Follow

Balding, A M Burke, K R
Butler, John Gosden, J H M
Halford, M Hannon (Jnr), Richard
Littmoden, N P Noseda, J
Ryan, K A Simcock, D M
Stoute, Sir Michael Varian, Roger
Walker, Ed

 

Today's Selection

5.55 Wolverhampton Oratorio's Joy – eachway bet – 5/1 Paddy Power, Bet Victor

Christmas Spirit

With no racing after today until Boxing Day this will be my last post until Friday when we will have some winning tips from Nick Hardman.

But before I go I've got news of 12 super freebies that you can get, starting on Christmas Day.

That nice Mr Wilding over at Race Advisor has managed to persuade the owners of the best premium betting services to give you access to ALL of them this Christmas, completely FREE.

Michael is known for putting together offers of incredible value, but he’s really outdone himself this time and we’re proud to be a part of it.

This is a one-off, unique Christmas event.

You’ll get one email each day, for the twelve days of Christmas, showing you how to get access to a premium service totally free.

But, you MUST register before midnight on the 24th December if you want to join in.

And that doesn’t leave much time. So…

Follow this link and register now

http://dailypunt.com/12days

Today's Selection

2:00 Bangor Never Never – eachway bet – 5/1 Bet 365

Newcastle Trainer Trends

Today Nick Hardman of Betting School Insiders Club takes a look at key trends for both jockeys and trainers at the Newcastle meeting.

Don't forget you can get free winning tips from the Betting School every weekend when you register on their site at http://betting-school.com.

We landed a nice winner and a few placed finishers at decent odds last Friday and this week we head off to Newcastle. The three trainers of interest are Michael Dods, Richard Guest and Tony Coyle who boast course strike rates of 16%, 16% and 19%. If we dig a little deeper we can improve on those statistics by targeting certain races and certain types of horse.

Michael Dods does exceptionally well with his 3yo handicappers at Newcastle. He has had 11 winners from 37 runners at strike rate of 30% and a level stakes profit of £27.05 since 2010. He sends the following horses to Newcastle on Friday:

2.30pm Cara’s Request & Escape To Glory in 7f handicap
3.00pm Blackfoot Brave in the 7f maiden
3.35pm Trinity Star in the 1m 2f handicap
5.10pm Dartrix in the 6f handicap

Trinity Star is the only 3yo handicapper from those horses listed above. Paul Mulrennan takes the ride on Escape To Glory, Blackfoot Brave and Trinity Star. He has ridden 3 winners from 5 rides for Michael Dods at Newcastle since 2012. Connor Beasley takes the ride on Dartrix and the Dods/ Beasley pairing have combined well this season including two winners from their last 4 starts.

Our next trainer is Richard Guest. If we concentrate on his 2yo – 4yo handicappers he has had 16 winners from 62 runners at a strike rate of 26% and a level stakes profit of £85.42 since 2010. He has a fantastic 42% place strike rate too, so backing all those runners each-way would have increased profits to £111.52. On Friday he saddles the following runners:

2.00pm Penalty Scorer in the 5f Nursery
2.30pm Johnny Cavagin & Sakhalin Star in the 7f handicap
5.10pm Hazza The Jazza in the 6f handicap

Penalty Scorer (2yo), Sakhalin Star (3yo) and Hazza The Jazza (4yo) will all be ridden by Duiilo Da Silva who claims a useful 5lbs. Richard Guest’s last 5 runners at the track have finished 21112.

Our final trainer is Tony Coyle who does quite well with his handicappers of any age. He has had 7 winners from 32 runners at a strike rate of 22% and a level stakes profit of £24.00 since 2010. He has an impressive 48% place strike rate, so backing all those runners each-way would have increased profits to £41.62. On Friday he saddles the following runners:

2.00pm Snoway in the 5f Nursery
3.00pm Molly Approve in the 7f maiden
3.35pm Shirocco Passion in the 1m 2f handicap

Snoway is perhaps his most interesting runner stepping up into handicap company for the first time after showing some ability in 3 maidens so far. She finished 4th on both her first two outings in Class 5 company before finishing a disappointing 10th of 12 in a Class 3 at York.

If we go strictly by the strongest statistics, the qualifiers are:

2.00pm Penalty Scorer @7/2 & Snoway @14/1 in the 5f Nursery
2.30pm Johnny Cavagin 14/1 & Sakhalin Star @25/1 in the 7f handicap
3.35pm Trinity Star @5/1 & Shirocco Passion @25/1 in the 1m 2f handicap
5.10pm Hazza The Jazza @12/1 in the 6f handicap

However, anything saddled by Michael Dods is worth a second look in the market whilst Tony Coyle’s horses look to be the outsiders in our list, especially Shirocco Passion who has shown nothing in 3 runs this year.

Today's Selection

6.30 Newmarket Manshaa – win bet 7/2 bet 365, bet victor

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