Today we have a guest post from Nick Hardman of Betting School Insiders (http://bettinginsiders.com)
Musselburgh Tips and Trainer Trends
We are off to Musselburgh in search of winners on Friday and we have a few trainers with some impressive strike rates at the Scottish track.
First up is Philip Kirby who does well with his handicap runners. He does not do so well with his sprinters so best to concentrate on those races of 7f or longer.
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Philip Kirby – handicaps at Musselburgh 2010 – 2014 over 7f or longer
On Friday he has the following qualifiers – Forgiving Glance (2.30pm), Just Paul (3.30pm) and Rocky Two (4.30pm).
Our next trainer to follow is Alan Swinbank who also does well with his handicappers at middle and staying distances:
Alan Swinbank – handicaps at Musselburgh 2010 – 2014 over 1 mile to 1 mile 6f
On Friday he runs Lady Kashaan & Dark Ruler (4.00pm). Robert Winston takes the ride on Lady Kashaan and the Swinbank/ Winston pairing has bagged 5 winners from 11 rides in the last 2 years at Musselburgh.
Our third trainer is Michael Dods. He is another trainer who excels with his handicappers at the course.
Michael Dods – handicaps at Musselburgh 2010 – 2014
On Friday he runs Alan’s Pride (2.30pm) in the Nursery. Connor Beasley takes the ride and the Dods/ Beasley combination has teamed up for 4 winners from 6 rides at the course in the last 2 years.
A few of you have asked for a list of trainers with a high strike rate at the courses we cover in this Friday column. Here is the list for all trainers with a 20% or higher strike rate at Musselburgh since 2010 (minimum of 20 runners):
R. Fahey 24%
P. Kirby 27%
Declan Carroll 26%
M. Dods 28%
A. Swinbank 21%
On a final note for Musselburgh, William Haggas has had just 11 runners at the track since 2010 but 5 have won, including three of the last four. In fact he is 1-1 in 2012, 1-1 in 2013 and 1-2 in 2014. Keep an eye out for anything he runs up at the Scottish track.
Finally, we have previously highlighted the performance of the Tom Dascombe/ Richard Kingscote combination at Haydock and on Friday they team up with the unraced Opportuna (6.20pm) and War Paint (6.50pm).
It will be interesting to see how they run at what may well be decent odds.
Completely off topic but how do the stats look for horses as first time geldings? Found it a difficult one to research. Could have an angle once further filters are added
could I ask if yourself or anyone can provide an idea of the various grades or quality of Irish Racing ?
Curragh I assume is their best flat meeting but what about all the rest under both codes ?