Tag Archives: Scoring

Nick Hardman Free Tips

A bright Friday morning brings with it the joy of six tips from the excellent Nick Hardman of the Betting School Insiders Club

We have some decent racing today with the meetings at Doncaster and Huntingdon standing out by some way. I have gone through the cards and picked out some horses with strong chances as well as picking out a couple of bigger priced each-way runners.

John Ferguson is 4-11 with his hurdlers at Doncaster in non-handicap races in the last 3 years for a level stakes profit of £9.29. He runs Buckwheat in the novice hurdle race at 1.05pm and champ AP McCoy is booked to ride.

Nicky Henderson’s Days Of Heaven rates a big danger after showing much improved form in a first time hood when scoring at Ludlow (hood fitted again here). With that in mind there are options for the forecast with these two likely to be a lot better than the rest.

Steel Summit’s winning sequence must come to an end at some point but the manner of his latest victory and the fact he is 10lbs well-in at the weights make him one of the strongest bets on the card in the 2.50pm.

Nicky Henderson has a good chance of taking the final race on the Doncaster card with Clondaw Banker in the maiden hurdle. His second behind Jolly’s Cracked it at Ascot back in November is smart form and he ran that same rival to within a length next time out. A reproduction of either of those efforts should be enough to win this.

It’s not often a horse with form figures 8696 would interest me but you should always put those figures into the context of the race the horse is running in.

In this case the race is a novice handicap hurdle and a quick look at the rest of the runners reveal they too have form figures that look like the numbers round from Countdown.

The horse in question is Haleo and he runs in the 1.40pm today at Doncaster.

What drew my eye to him originally is that he is rated 97 in a race where the top rated horses are rated 99.

However, he gets a hefty 13lbs weight-for-age allowance from those two horses.

He ran well for a long way on his last start before fading two from home to finish 6th, beaten 10 lengths in total. He is the 20/1 outsider of the field here but I think that allowance will see him finish closer than market expectations.

Over at Huntingdon we have a similar scenario in the 4.05pm handicap hurdle that closes the card. Cyclop is joint-top rated with Harry Hunt on an official rating of 120.

However, the 4yo Cyclop gets 11lbs from his 8yo rival. Also in his favour is the booking of Sam Twiston-Davies and he also has a C&D win to his name. Up 6lbs for that latest win he might still have a bit of improvement in him.

The best race on the Huntingdon card is the Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Qualifier and top rated Aubusson is sure to prove popular dropping back into a handicap.

His latest effort saw him finish 3rd in the Grade 1 Long Walk Hurdle. Prior to that, he won the Grade 3 Fixed Brush Hurdle at Haydock to earn his current rating of 153.

He has to give 11lbs away here although Lizzie Kelly’s claim will off-set 7lbs of that.

However, this is a hot race with David Pipe’s Knight Of Noir also holding strong claims along with Dolatulo and Zeroshadesofgrey.

But the one really interesting runner is Ely Brown. He defied an absence of 198 days to win a Pertemps Qualifier at Ascot in 2012 off a mark of 125 and went on to finish 6th in the Pertemps Final at the Cheltenham festival.

He defied an absence of 206 days to win the same Qualifier again in 2013 off a mark of 135 before being sent novice chasing where he won a Grade 2 on his second start.

He has not been seen in almost a year but it is interesting he goes back over hurdles and is racing here off a mark of 139.

Charlie Deutsch takes off 5lbs so that puts Ely Brown 1lb below his last winning hurdles mark.

He has won first time out in the last 2 seasons. This would be some training feat were he to take this and it will be interesting to see how he goes.

The negatives are that he is returning from injury (as opposed to a seasonal break) and word is he is being aimed at a tilt at the Grand National so this may just be a pipe-opener.

That said you often see Grand National horses running at the Cheltenham festival in the Pertemps Final.

My interest is perked just enough to have a little each-way @12/1.

Doncaster 1.05pm Buckwheat tweet this tip
Doncaster 1.40pm Haleo @20/1 (e/w) tweet this tip
Doncaster 2.50pm Steel Summit @6/4 tweet this tip
Doncaster 3.50pm Clondaw Banker tweet this tip
Huntingdon 3.05pm Ely Brown @12/1 (e/w) tweet this tip
Huntingdon 4.05pm Cyclop @9/2 tweet this tip

Football Preview and Tips

We've got this weekend's football preview below, but first just a mention of today's Betfred offer, which is again a double odds offer.

If Bob's worth wins by more than 5 lengths then Betfred will double the odds on SP bets up to £500.

If you don't like risk, then make an SP bet with Betfred and lay the bet off at Betfair, if Bob's Worth wins by more than 5 lengths you will make a huge bonus.

Lay the bet just before the off to get an idea of what SP will be. http://betfred.com

Today we have a preview of the weekends football action and Premier League football tips from Tipster Warehouse…

A Preview of this Weekends Football Action

Last weekend Chelsea took full advantage of their rival’s involvement in the FA Cup by storming to a seven point lead at the top of the table. This weekend all of the top four face challenging ties away from home which may start to sort the boys from the men.

The early kick off on Saturday features a Manchester City side who will want to re-establish their credentials as the most free scoring and entertaining side in the country.

City suffered a surprising loss at the Etihad to Championship side Wigan in the FA Cup Quarter Final last week and amazingly it will be manager Manuel Pellegrini who is under the most pressure at the moment. It’s been a very bad week for the Chilean as he has witnessed his team crash out of the Champions League at the hands of Barcelona as well.

Tomorrow they face a Hull City side buoyed by their own progress to the FA Cup semi finals. The mega rich owners of the Citizens do not accept the slightest sign of weakness from their manager or his players so they will be desperate to get their season back on track.

I can only see one winner here as Negredo, Aguero and Co should be too much for the Tigers to contend with. But then again I thought that last week as well. I guess that’s the beauty of football.

There is a reason Chelsea have taken the Premier League by the scruff of the neck. Consistency. They have won eleven and drawn three of their last fourteen league games and that is the form of champions.

They travel to the Midlands to play Aston Villa – a team with recent form as full of holes as Miley Cyrus’s string vest. Three losses and a draw were followed up last weekend by a terrible start against Norwich.

With only one goal scored in the last three hundred and sixty minutes of football no one could have foreseen the incredible turnaround which saw them score four times in sixteen first half minutes to end the contest and take the points. Villa will need to take that form into this game if they are to stand any chance. John Terry and his band of merry men mullered Tottenham last week by four goals helped by a little bit of theatrics from Samuel Eto’o as he “won” a penalty which saw Younes Kaboul red carded for the challenge.

It was sad to see Eto’o join Ramires, Hazard and Oscar in the Chelsea Diving Club but thankfully the powers that be at least recognised this during the week as they rescinded Kaboul's sending off. Too late for Spurs but the correct decision to stop any further punishment for the unlucky Kaboul. Now, I’d like to see that taken a little further as they should also retrospectively punish those that clearly cheat to gain an advantage for their side.

In previous seasons the clash between Manchester United and Liverpool has been eagerly awaited as a potential powder keg of a game and I expect this Sunday we will not see too much Churchgoing Spirit being displayed at Old Trafford.

The Red Devils have won their last two matches but remain fallible and for the first time in many years it is Liverpool who will be favourites for the three points. Seven wins and two draws in their last nine games have seen Brendan Rogers and his side move into second place and this will be a huge test of their character.

If they can win at Old Trafford then the self belief will flood through their veins and it could lead to the start of a serious push for the title. The Triple S strikeforce of Suarez, Sturridge and Sterling are hitting some superb form and if they can over come the sense of awe that had under Sir Alex Ferguson pervaded Old Trafford then they could make the short journey back to Merseyside with all three points.

United under David Moyes have not yet gained that sense of awe and are proving to have a vulnerability about them that would have been unheard of in the last twenty years or so.

Sunday also sees the North London derby between Tottenham and Arsenal. Spurs have struggled badly against the top four sides this season and have gained just one point in six games thus far. A draw with Chelsea in September has been their solitary success.

Losses to Arsenal by one goal and then two losses to Manchester City with eleven goals conceded have been combined with two further losses to Liverpool by five and Chelsea by four goals.

Games with their closest rivals Arsenal have been closer in recent years and form has often gone out of the window but with Tim Sherwood’s position in charge reported to be a matter of contention already he will not want to suffer a loss to the Gunners.

A win for Spurs could see them get to within three points of Arsenal but they will not need any added motivation to bust a gut in this game. It could prove to be an apt time to face their rivals since Arsene Wenger will be without Mesut Ozil as well as Jack Wilshere and a number of others struggling with injuries. I suspect the teams will nullify each other and a draw will prove to be a fair result.

Top Tips

Manchester City will get back on track and punish Hull City by a clear two or three goals. Best odds for a City win are at 4/7 although odds on Hull at 6/1 are generous for a home win at any time. Couple this with a gimme bet on Chelsea at 6/11 or if you’re feeling a little more adventurous why not have a little faith with Brendan Rogers and his men. Best odds on Liverpool are at 2/1 for a win at Old Trafford and I have a sneaking suspicion that the Pool will heap further misery on David Moyes and his misfiring malcontents.

To find out more about Tipster Warehouse and to get more free tips Click Here.

Today's Selection

Cheltenham 2.40 Kings Palace – win bet – 4/1 Ladbrokes

Weekend Football Double

Today we have a preview of the weekends football action and tips from Tipster Warehouse…

FA Cup 5th Round

Top flight football this weekend comes courtesy of the FA Cup 5th Round as the Premier League takes a short break. The relative minnows left in the final sixteen will be buoyed by the fact that the “Big Four” clubs left in the competition face off against each other in two potentially thunderous clashes. As Wigan showed last season it is possible for a smaller club to win big in the FA Cup but only if the draw is kind to you.

The first tie of the weekend sees Sunderland take on this seasons surprise package Southampton. The Saints have had a fantastic season thus far and even though they have tailed off a little of late they will still fancy their chances of progressing. However, since Gus Poyet grasped the reins at the Stadium of Light the Black Cats form has improved dramatically.

They have won six games already in 2014 including the superb despatch of Manchester United in the League Cup semi final and they really seem to ramp up the passion in the Cup matches. I expect Saturday to be no different and with generous odds of 12/5 available for the home side it makes them well worth a punt.

Current Cup holders Wigan Athletic may have succumbed to relegation last season but they will have been overjoyed to be paired with Cardiff City in this round and a very real opportunity to retain their crown. Although the Welshmen are the higher ranked side they are in a poor run of form and have won just once in the league in their last ten matches. Wins over Newcastle and Bolton in the FA Cup cannot mask their lack of confidence at the moment and I have a sneaky suspicion that the Latics will take this tie possibly after a replay.

In the all Championship clash Sheffield Wednesday face Charlton. Both clubs have performed heroics to reach this stage of the Cup given they are both languishing in the nether reaches of their League. The Owls are in 17th place but Charlton are currently occupying a relegation spot and both sets of supporters will secretly be harbouring thoughts that an early exit may not be a bad thing.

Although the glory of the Cup is a wonderful thing they may be more concerned with retaining their league status and not making the dreaded drop to League One. This is a tight one to call but I’d favour the home side to make that advantage pay and for the Northerners to squeak into the quarter finals.

The early evening televised match sees Jose Mourinho take his Chelsea side up to Manchester to face a City side that are in an incredible run of home form. City have won 17 of 19 home games this season and knocked in a paltry 72 goals in those ties. But crucially for Jose and his boys one of those losses was a matter of days ago against Chelsea. Has he got their number?

Can he get the tactics right once more and cause an upset? Personally I think that the Citizens learn quickly and they will not make the same mistakes in this match. Their scoring prowess is nothing short of amazing and I’d favour them to progress in an absolute corker of a match.

The first of Sunday’s games is an all Premier League clash featuring Everton and Swansea. Roberto Martinez had until recently looked like he had turned the Toffeemen into potential title challengers but they have in recent weeks proven to lack the stamina to keep up a sustained assault and the FA Cup may prove to be their best chance of picking up some silverware this season.

Martinez of course was in charge of Wigan last season as they won the Cup and he will be hoping that his experience will enable his side to move into the next round with a minimum of fuss. The Swans are in turmoil at the moment and took the surprising decision to ditch their manager the likeable Dane Michael Laudrup in favour of the inexperienced Garry Monk. In my opinion the bookies are being overly generous in their view that Everton will win this one. With odds of 11/2 available on a Swans win it could be worth a cheeky pound or two in what is don’t forget a Cup tie.

The lowest team still in the competition are League One strugglers Sheffield United in what must be for their fans a bittersweet experience this season. The FA Cup is great fun but if they are honest they would far rather an extra 20 points in the league than a place in the quarter finals. Forest are riding high in the race for a place in the Premier League and I expect them to have more drive and desire to reach the next round than their Yorkshire counterparts. Odds of 13/10 in favour of Billy Davies and his men could prove to be like taking candy from a baby.

The big match on Sunday gives an early opportunity for Arsenal to gain revenge for their recent mauling at the hands of Liverpool in the League. Even though the Gunners are battling for the title at the moment they face a side in stunning form and with Arsene Wenger’s men in poor form when playing other big clubs it could just be that Brendan Rogers could get his tactics right and take this tie.

As I mentioned earlier the smaller clubs will see this seasons competition as a great chance to take some silverware but this also applies to the big four as well and with two of Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester City and Chelsea definitely eliminated this round those that can remain could reap some rich rewards. This should be a cracking game and I can see Luis Suarez and his men taking this – possibly after a replay.

The last tie of this round is played on Monday evening and features Premier League Hull City as they travel south to Brighton. The Seagulls have won their last four home matches and the Tigers face a difficult challenge if they are to move forwards.

This one to me is too close to call as home advantage and good form should count for just as much as playing in the Premier League. I anticipate that this match may turn out to be an old fashioned blood and thunder, throw everything but the kitchen sink at your opponents type of game which will prove exciting for the neutral and could see the home side upset the odds and progress.

Top Tips

A double for me with Sunderland (12/5) and Swansea (11/2) giving potentially great returns.

This double pays at just over 21/1.

To find out more about Tipster Warehouse and to get more free tips Click Here.

Racing Selection

8.05 Wolverhampton Brownsville – win bet – 2/1 Bet 365

£400,000 Prize Pool

It's time to get your entry in for the Tote Tent To Follow fantasy racing competition.

There are huge prizes for the final winner as well as monthly £10,000 bonus prizes.

To win the prizes all you have to do is pick 10 horses from those listed and add those to your stable.

You will then win points every time any of your stable wins a qualifying race.

With bonus points for the big races of the season.

The first monthly bonus prize will be awarded to the top scoring stable between 15th November and 30th November.

To win that first bonus prize you probably will need to have the winner of this weekends Paddy Power Gold Cup and the winner of the Hennessy Gold Cup Chase at the end of the month.

So maybe have a think about the likely winners of these 2 races to get your entry off to a good start.

http://totesport.com

Here is the full list of bonus races…

RACE COURSE & DATE

Paddy Power Gold Cup; Cheltenham, 16 November 2013
Hennessy Gold Cup Chase; Newbury, 30 November 2013
International Hurdle; Cheltenham, 16 December 2013
William Hill King George VI Chase; Kempton Park, 26 December 2013
Irish Champion Hurdle; Leopardstown, 26 January 2014
Irish Hennessy Gold Cup; Leopardstown, 09 February 2014
Racing Post Arkle; Cheltenham, 11 March 2014
Stan James Champion Hurdle; Cheltenham, 11 March 2014
Sportingbet.com Queen Mother Champion Chase; Cheltenham, 12 March 2014
RSA Chase; Cheltenham, 12 March 2014
Ladbrokes World Hurdle;Cheltenham, 13 March 2014
Ryanair Chase ; Cheltenham, 13 March 2014
Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup; Cheltenham, 14 March 2014
Aintree Hurdle; Aintree, 05 April 2014
Crabbie's Grand National; Aintree, 05 April 2014

All the above dates are subject to confirmation of the 2013/2014 racing calendar.

http://totesport.com

Lay Debutants

13:20:00 Sedgefield 3 Clues And Arrows
14:30:00 Lingfield 6 Sirrah Star (IRE)
16:05:00 Lingfield 4 Greatday Allweek (IRE)
16:15:00 Wolverhampton 4 Alba Verde
16:15:00 Wolverhampton 1 Dreese (IRE)
16:15:00 Wolverhampton 3 Techtycoon

Lay Handicap

12:40:00 Huntingdon 3 Boss In Boots (IRE)

Today's Selection

1.30 Lingfield Bit Of A Clown – eachway bet – 8/1 Bet Victor, Bet 365, Sporting Bet

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