Football Correct Score Trading

I've just read a cracking article in the Betting Insiders report that outlines a strategy for trading correct score football markets.

I'm sure that this will be a handy strategy to have in your betting armoury.

Basically the method outlined by Jakub Gawel involves backing high scores in games where one team is very short odds on to win.

And then as the game progresses trade out of the position as the scores shorten.

Jakub gives a couple of examples and the general scenario is that one team is starting at odds of 1.2 or less in the win market and has a history of  high scoring games.

Jakub then bet scores of 4-0 and 4-1 at double figure odds.

Then as the game progresses every time a goal is scored by the hot favourite the odds shorten on the big score lines and a profit can be locked in by laying the score line.

There is scope for this to go wrong but if you do your research this looks like a great strategy.

You will need to keep your wits about you, for example if the underdog scores you need to lay off the 4-1 score straight away because if they get another you will have two losing bets.

By betting a score to nil and a score to one either team can score first and you will still have at least one active bet to trade out of.

If you want to read the full method you can join the Betting Insiders here.

Update 2020: This is still a valid strategy, but from experience I would say that the safer strategy is to lay the smaller score lines, either 3-0 and 3-1 or 2-0 and 2,1.

The profit will be smaller from these more likely correct scores but you will be making a profit more often.

As with any football betting, especially in the correct score markets you need to do your research and when trading you need to be on the ball and ready to update your position after each goal.

5 Responses to Football Correct Score Trading

  1. bill says:

    My strategy in games like this is when
    a team is expected to win 4-0,5-0
    back 2-0,3-0,3-1.quite often not as many goals
    scored as is thought.had it off lots of times.

    good luck

  2. ROBERT says:

    If you bet 4-1:4-0 on bet fair you cant really trade out on each goal being scored.
    Any team scoring 4 or more goals comes under any other score?Am I correct in saying that?

  3. Kevan says:

    Hi Robert, When the specified match is calculated to be high scoring then Betfair will give a specific price for that market, on the other hand if the game is calculated to be low scoring then a result such as 4-0 or 4-1 could be excluded and be placed in “any other score” market.
    Personally I agree with Bill, trading the lower scores in these projected high scoring games will green up much quicker than the bigger scores, having said that, bigger margins are achieved as advised but less often.

    Kevan

  4. Gerry says:

    Robert,spotted that myself about any unquoted.Don`t suppose there will be an answer given.

  5. Dave says:

    Hi All

    As Kevan says there will be additional markets on Betfair for high scoring matches.

    Every time a goal is scored even the high scorelines will move, but of course you have to make an opinion on what the score might be and place your initial bets accordingly.

    Dave

Leave a reply

More Free Winning Tips 

The Daily Punt is updated 6 days a week and always includes a racing tip for the day. If you would like to be notified when it is updated please enter your details in the box below & click submit.

Email subscribers get extra daily tips not published on site!

When you subscribe to the Daily Punt we will email you 6 days per week to notify you of the new blog post & free horse racing tip, we may also occasionally send you related material (systems & strategies etc). These emails will sometimes contain promotional messages for other services and occasionally we will email you with other marketing messages in line with our Privacy Policy

x

By continuing to use the site, you agree to the use of cookies. more information

The cookie settings on this website are set to "allow cookies" to give you the best browsing experience possible. If you continue to use this website without changing your cookie settings or you click "Accept" below then you are consenting to this.

Close