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Football Correct Score Trading

I've just read a cracking article in the Betting Insiders report that outlines a strategy for trading correct score football markets.

I'm sure that this will be a handy strategy to have in your betting armoury.

Basically the method outlined by Jakub Gawel involves backing high scores in games where one team is very short odds on to win.

And then as the game progresses trade out of the position as the scores shorten.

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Jakub gives a couple of examples and the general scenario is that one team is starting at odds of 1.2 or less in the win market and has a history of  high scoring games.

Jakub then bet scores of 4-0 and 4-1 at double figure odds.

Then as the game progresses every time a goal is scored by the hot favourite the odds shorten on the big score lines and a profit can be locked in by laying the score line.

There is scope for this to go wrong but if you do your research this looks like a great strategy.

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You will need to keep your wits about you, for example if the underdog scores you need to lay off the 4-1 score straight away because if they get another you will have two losing bets.

By betting a score to nil and a score to one either team can score first and you will still have at least one active bet to trade out of.

If you want to read the full method you can join the Betting Insiders here.

Update 2020: This is still a valid strategy, but from experience I would say that the safer strategy is to lay the smaller score lines, either 3-0 and 3-1 or 2-0 and 2,1.

The profit will be smaller from these more likely correct scores but you will be making a profit more often.

As with any football betting, especially in the correct score markets you need to do your research and when trading you need to be on the ball and ready to update your position after each goal.

5 thoughts on “Football Correct Score Trading”

  1. My strategy in games like this is when
    a team is expected to win 4-0,5-0
    back 2-0,3-0,3-1.quite often not as many goals
    scored as is thought.had it off lots of times.

    good luck

  2. If you bet 4-1:4-0 on bet fair you cant really trade out on each goal being scored.
    Any team scoring 4 or more goals comes under any other score?Am I correct in saying that?

  3. Hi Robert, When the specified match is calculated to be high scoring then Betfair will give a specific price for that market, on the other hand if the game is calculated to be low scoring then a result such as 4-0 or 4-1 could be excluded and be placed in “any other score” market.
    Personally I agree with Bill, trading the lower scores in these projected high scoring games will green up much quicker than the bigger scores, having said that, bigger margins are achieved as advised but less often.


  4. Hi All

    As Kevan says there will be additional markets on Betfair for high scoring matches.

    Every time a goal is scored even the high scorelines will move, but of course you have to make an opinion on what the score might be and place your initial bets accordingly.


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