Tag Archives: Selection courtesy

Gordon Elliott Perth

A good call yesterday from Mark Foley of Betting Insiders.

Gordon Elliott had one runner at Perth which trotted home at 7/1.

Today he has four running at Perth and they are mostly quite short priced.

The runners are…

Perth 4.25 Taglietelle – 8/11 Bet Victor, Bet 365

Perth 6.00 I C Gold – 13/8 Boylesports

Perth 7.00 Bless The Wings – 4/1 Bet Victor, Paddy Power

Perth 7.30 Balbriggan 10/11 Paddy Power

A quick investigation on Horseracebase indicates that odds on shots have a negative return on investment, so maybe its not worth betting Taglietelle and Balbriggan.

Today's Selection courtesy of Betting Insiders Club

Leicester 4.50 Housemaker – win bet – Bet 365

Perth Trainer Trends

Today we have an interesting trainer angle from Mark Foley of the Betting School Insiders Club…

Perth Trainer Trends

Perth stages summer racing over the jumps and you invariably think of Nigel Twiston Davies as the man to follow. 

The West Country maestro has done well in recent years with 27 runners since 2010, however during the same period, Irish raider Gordon Elliot has saddled a remarkable 72 winners at the Scottish track.

With the Stanraer ferry and a good motorway network making it easier for him to get to Perth than many of the Irish tracks and Irish races often being oversubscribed he has taken full advantage of his trips across the Irish Sea.

The strike rate since 2010 has been a very respectable 25% when you consider he has sent over 249 horses, but that only tells half of the story and the good news is that they have become even more profitable to follow in the past two years than in previous seasons.

In the past two seasons he has been more selective with the runners he has sent over but the strike rate was 32% last year and a remarkable 38% the year before; the ROI’s were 52% and 74%.

You would think that the booking of top Jocks AP Mc Coy and Jason Maguire would send the prices plummeting but 10 winners from 22 runners in the past two seasons, for a 45% ROI would suggest otherwise and the stable’s runners could have been backed with confidence when McCoy or Maguire rode or when he booked a ticket for Davey Condon.

Gordon Elliot has one entered at Perth today and 2 tomorrow.

Today's is in the 4.20 and is High Expectations.

Today's Selection courtesy of Winning Trends http://winningtrends.co.uk

Brighton 3.00 Best Example – win bet – 11/4 Bet 365

Perth

Hawkeye

So it's Saturday and that means we have the chance to win £250,000 for the huge stake of zero pounds and zero pence.

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Now we have our regular Saturday Snippet from Peter Hawkeye, don't forget you can trial his service for one month for just £7.99 Click Here http://dailypunt.com/hawkeye

I do like the look of Scarborough 5.10 Chester today. The form of the last race looks very strong and I would imagine it should be the one to beat at around the 3’1 mark.

Today's Selection courtesy of http://bookiesenemyno1.com

4.05 Chester Blue Agean

Salisbury Trainer Trends

Today Nick Hardman of Betting School Insiders Club takes a look at key trends for both jockeys and trainers at the Salisbury meeting.

Don't forget you can get free winning tips from the Betting School every weekend when you register on their site at http://betting-school.com.

Our Friday column was on the money last week with Nunthorpe winner Sole Power @7/2 and Ebor winner Mutual Regard @25/1. Hopefully a few of you were on. This week we take a look at Salisbury and some of the profitable trainers to make a note of. We also highlight a bang in-form trainer who looks worth following at Chester on Saturday.
First to Salisbury and standing head and shoulders above the rest is Lady Jane Cecil who continues the great work of her late husband. Since 2010 the Cecil yard has had 12 winners from 29 runners for a level stakes profit of £11.57 at the Wiltshire track. Most of the winners have come in non-handicap races and if we concentrate on their 3yo and 4yo non-handicap runners then the figures are 8-17 at a strike rate (SR) of 47% and a level stakes profit of £13.08. Six of their last nine runners at the track have won.

PD Evans has sent out the highest number of winners at the track with 19 in the last 5 seasons at a strike rate of 16%. That strike rate increases to 23% (12-52) in non-handicap races. If we take out his 2yo runners then he is 6-12 (SR 50%) and a level stakes profit of £30.50 with his older horses (3yo and 3yo+) in non-handicap races.

Finally, David Simcock does not send many runners to the track but in the last 5 seasons his non-handicap runners are 5-15 (SR 33.33%) and a level stakes profit of £8.98. Our top three trainers have no entries today but there are two more meetings in September so look out for their runners at the track in the next two weeks.

We have a great card at my local track Chester on Saturday and one trainer I want on-side is Andrew Balding. In the last 5 seasons he is 24-101 (SR 24%) and shows a healthy level stakes profit of £51.13. This season alone he is 8-18 (SR 44%) at the Roodee for a profit of £25.38. Balding and jockey Oisin Murphy have formed a tremendous partnership at the course in 2014, combining for 6 wins from 12 rides and a profit of £21.38. Andrew Balding has the following horses entered at Chester tomorrow:

2.20 Dungannon (5f handicap)
3.30 Whiplash Willie 1m 5f
4.40 Cosmic Ray (7f maiden)

Chester has the biggest draw bias of any course in the UK so we certainly want be drawn low for all races up to 7 ½ f. We have previously highlighted the fact Franny Norton rides Chester as well as anybody and he has a good book of rides on Saturday. They are B Fifty Two (2.20pm), Heavy Metal (2.55pm), Special Meaning (3.30pm), Enlace (4.05pm) and Sea Silk (4.40pm). B Fifty Two and Heavy Metal both look to have a decent chance which would be enhanced further by a nice, low draw.

On a final word, betting on trainer stats is a long term strategy that takes time and patience to reap the rewards. For example we highlighted William Haggas as a trainer to follow at York back in July. At the time of writing he had sent 11 runners to the track in 2014 and all 11 had lost. The following day he sent out two winners @4/1 and 9/2 and followed that up with 3 winners at the Ebor festival @12/1, 20/1 and 8/1.

Today's Selection courtesy of http://bookiesenemyno1.com

5.10 Salisbury Lady Crossmar 11/4

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