The Day I arrived as a Tipster

19th April 2013. The day I arrived as a tipster.

I had been working for various outlets before that – Sporting Life, Non League Paper, Betfair – as a non league football and women’s tennis betting correspondent. All the time my heart beat on the turf and I’d started a private subscription electronic daily tipping sheet called the Bozmail in which I published my first efforts at tipping horses.

Like most tipsters, I used a combination of form study, observation, race reading and system devising to come up with my daily copy.

It was the latter that struck gold for me.The devising of a system called the ‘shortlist through the card permed accumulator’.

Specifically tailored for a bet being offered on the Betfair Exchange that enabled a multiple selection permed accumulator for a single stake. Unlike the Tote Jackpot bet which requires multiple stakes to cover the perm, the Betfair model permed the odds at which each leg was settled dependant on the number of selections in each leg.

So just a basic £2 single stake.

Often the returns on a successful bet were not that enormous.

I landed a few before this one came along. Several factors made 19th April 2013 special.

Firstly it was an eight race card at Fontwell.

Fontwell was the signature track in my system. One of four UK tracks where the results had been consistently strong from system data collected over years from the turn of the Millenium.

A friend and I went back over years of Racing Posts to create our data once the original premise was formed. Fontwell shone throughout alongside Sedgefield, Newton Abbot and Bath. Eight race cards make an enormous difference to final outcomes.

FONTWELL 19/4/13 RESULTS 

		ISP	BSP	No Runners
1-50	Definite Ruby	Evens	2.08	12
2-20	Theatrical Star	11/10	2.18	9
2-50	Kambis	12/1	15.02	11
3-25	Quarl Ego	5/1	6.4	9
4-00	Starlight Air	4/1	5.4	10
4-35	Marie Deja La	12/1	16.85	9
5-05	Red Anchor	16/1	24.58	9
5-35	Gilzean	7/1	8.41	15
totals		2,895,984/1	8,198,629.7	83

Take Gilzean off the above and the results are quite different. Leave him on and…..well, I shall never forget that 5-35 at Fontwell. So much riding on old Gilzean’s shoulders.

Actually it rested on five other horse’s shoulders too as we had six selections in that 15 runner race. Twenty five selections in total in the eight races. From eighty three horses that ran that day. Nearly a third of all the horses ran for us. And yet the odds at the end were still spectacular.

1751/1 for the perm. £2 stake yielded £3502 profit.

Those who isolated the races down to the successful eight winners from the twenty five selections won at the odds shown above.

And there were two I know of who did that. One bet a single selection acca at ISP.

The other played on the Betfair exchange multiple facility that paid the cumulative BSP odds of over 8 million to one. He sent me a present and a note saying he was retiring from gambling. He’d been a pro gambler for many years. I haven’t heard from him since. I fancy he is doing ok! 

I’d had my £2 on the permed acca. Best bet I ever landed goes without saying really. Pro gambler I am not!

The second factor that conspired to create the fantastic cumulative odds on the permed acca was that the short priced favourites that won the first two races were both single selections on the perm.

And so we got off with two bankers to full odds. Twenty three selections in the next six very competitive races which obviously conspired to make the single selection winner odds astronomical if you did manage to isolate them.

But those two single selections on the perm are really what made the perm return so large.  Had those two been permed odds due to multiple selections in the races, the dividend would not have escalated so rapidly.

Obviously the value of BSPs on the outsider winners also contributed to continuing the accumulative click up of returns. 24.58 on Red Anchor – over seven and a half points higher than the ISP return. That helped!

Watching that race was pretty exciting as well. Seeing him ghost up the hill on the rails. My eye had been following a different selection who had led and back-pedalled late.

I hadn’t fancied Red Anchor on my race read and so had ignored him in running. Seeing him coming through to keep the bet alive. Quite something.

The beauty of the shortlist system devised. By then we were used to horses we didn’t fancy winning. System picked but just as exciting as those you’ve sorted out yourself. It was some day.

I packed in writing for the commercial outlets on the back of it and concentrated on the BOZmail after that.

Started writing monthly bits for The Betting School not long after and showed them a different system I had devised.

A much more modest cash-builder style system which accumulated small profits from a one race a day selection.

Three years down the line and they encouraged me to bring the BOZmail to their stable of tipping sites.

I didn’t initially include the ‘shortlist through the card permed acca’ in that.

It went on sabbatical in 2017 for some system tweaking after Fontwell introduced an all weather section to their track that initially skewed the system selection data.We were also conscious that bookmaker’s eyes were on us.

Time to give it a short break. The tweak is finished now. And so the permed acca system is ready to come back on to the sheet under the BETLESSWINMORE banner. Can we do it again?   

Only one way to find out!

Gary ‘THE BOZ’ Boswell

Gary Boswell is the brain behind the consistently profitable Bet Less Win More service which is the new home of the Bozmail. You can join him here https://betlesswinmore.co.uk