I was having a read of this months Racing Ahead magazine last night when I came across an article about the habits of flat trainers.
This is something that I use a lot in my betting and is the basis of Mark's Trainer Trends service which i follow so I was interested to read it.
The angles looked at were mostly the kind of thing that I already look at, like preferred courses, times of the year when they do well.
But then something caught my eye. The writer was looking at horses that had been significantly dropped in class.
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Specifically he had stats for horses dropped three or four classes.
So I fired up the HorseRaceBase and found some stats to share with you today…
Class Droppers System
Horses that dropped in class by 3, 4 or 5 classes.
Fahey, R A
Gosden, J H M
Hills, B W
Meehan, B J
Stoute, Sir Michael
No other factors considered, show a profit of 140 points over the last 10 years, with a strike rate of 27%.
Not a fortune I know and only about 50 bets per year, but still worth a closer look when one pops up.
With Horseracebase you can create an alert for any system that you create so I'll be notified when one of these comes along and I'll let you know.
Epsom 3.55 John Biscuit – eachway bet – 10/1 Bet365 Paddy Power SkyBet