As I was looking through today's cards I was reminded of another strategy championed by yesterdays guest writer Clive Keeling.
Basically this method is essentially a non form method of getting each way value in horse races.
Here's an example that Clive published in his newsletter recently.
I highlighted a great each way betting race in the 12.30 Newbury last Friday and suggested choosing an each way bet from three horses: Bold Cuffs; Vasco d’Ycy; and Pistol.
This was the result:
1 Vasco D'Ycy 7/1
2 Pistol 6/1
3 Saphir Du Rheu 10/11F
NR: Hector's Chance
Not bad eh? No form research; just logic and conjecture based on the betting forecast and Oddschecker. Do take a look at last week’s example.
The example is at www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk. It is a great way to sniff out each way horses.
In summary, here’s what you do:
Look at 8/9 runner races.
Ideally, the favourite should be odds on (Saphir Du Rheu was 10/11 favourite in the above example).
There should be four or five horses under double-figure odds in the betting forecast at the Racing Post and in the live betting market. This allows us to easily shortlist potential horses who can take advantage if an odds-on favourite under performs (as above with Saphir Du Rheu coming third).
It’s a nice, simple, logical strategy which needs no form research at all, and could net you a 7/1 winner as above .
So there is a race that fits the profile today and it's the 5.40 at Kempton.
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Two In The Pink, 4/1 Batchworth Lady, 5/1 Summer Sun, 7/1 Visual Aspect, 20/1 I Need A Dollar, 25/1 Back For Tea, 33/1 Dancing Ellie Mae, 50/1 Hanga Roa.
So the method tells us we should have an each way bet on either Batchworth Lady, Summer Sun or Visual Aspect.
Having a closer look at the race and it's hard to see any of them winning, but somebody has to. The more I look at this race the more I think the odds on favourite Two in the Pink is actually value at the current odds of 8/13. The others are a poor bunch.
But the point of the article is to demonstrate the each way value method, so on that basis the each way selection would have to be Summer Sun for me at 6/1.
The idea behind this method is that the win price on the strong favourite pushes out the prices of the other main contenders, which makes them value for the place part of an each way bet on them.
Lingfield 3.45 Fathom Five – win bet – 7/2 Bet 365