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Handicap Draws

Did you get involved at Chester on Friday?

You will recall that we said stalls 1 and 2 were favoured, particularly over 5 furlongs, 6 furlongs, 1 mile 3 and 1 mile 4.

The results on Friday for the two 5 furlong races were a win for stall 1 at 4/1 and a win for stall 2 at 7/4.

And there was a race at 1 mile 4 furlongs which was won by the stall 1 horse at 7/2.

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Saturday saw a 9/1 winner from stall 1 in the 6 furlong handicap, with stall 1 or 2 placing in the other two qualifying races.

Not everybody appreciates the info though, I got this email before racing…

are you taking the pi** my name is ******, i was born in curzon park west 48 years ago which overlooks the roodeye ive watched every race at chester since i could walk,and your trying to give me advice about chester race course,only 2 jockeys could ever ride chester and master it,the great lester piggot,and unbelievably alex other jockey ive ever seen could bounce out a horse drawn low over 5 furlongs like them two,and todays jockeys havent a clue,you have to be whipping the horse out of the stalls,so thanks but no thanks,and please take me off your mailing list *******

I've added the asterisks but otherwise that's the whole mail as I received it 🙂

That aside I picked up an excellent tip for researching draw biases over the weekend.

On Course Profits free Horse Racing magazine

Actually it was one of those ideas that's so obvious I can't believe I hadnt already thought of it myself, doh.

Basically the advice was that when researching biases regarding aspects of the course or conditions then do your research on handicaps, because in theory all runners should be equally matched. So any bias should be more prominent.

So for example with the draw if the horse in the stall you are looking at is a no hoper then his run will skew the statistics. But if all runners are handicapped to win then the results should be a better representation of the facts.

The next Chester meeting is on August 4th and Pontefract is this Friday.

Today's Selection courtesy of No Risk Tipster (Try for 1 month free)

Wolverhampton 9.20 Glenridding – win bet – 4/1 Boylesport

10 thoughts on “Handicap Draws”

  1. I was at Chester on Saturday and had all the winners you mentioned…and then some (thanks to my wife not my form study)! I vaguely knew about the draw bias and was going to research it beforehand so your blog saved me the trouble, so thanks a lot for that. Unfortunately neither Mr. Piggott nor Ms. Greaves had a ride on Saturday so I couldn’t benefit from that excellent advice 🙂

  2. Our friend from chester will be sorely missed I don’t think keep up the good work information for nowt and still whinging there there there

  3. I always read your Daily Punt every day, you give out a lot of great advice in my opinion,

    I was at Chester Saturday and kept in mind what I had read in your info, and had a nice 12/1 winner in the forth Als Memory, came out of stall 1, So thank you for helping my day come on a treat. but I did cheat in the next, had to do Snowy Dawn for a bit of fun as that was my name and that won too, still it was in stall 3 one of the better ones at Chester.

    Maybe Mr Born in Curzon had not took your advise and had a bad day on the horses, when someone gives you advice its your choice if you want to take it or not, his loss asking to be taken off the mailing list.

    If it wasn’t for you I don’t think I would of found horseracebase which is a fantastic site,

    Thanks Again

    1. Thanks Dawn, you’d be surprised how much hate there is online and needless to say I’ve had much worse than that, this one made me laugh because he took the message as a personal insult to his intelligence, like I’d picked on him personally 🙂

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