I've just read a cracking article in the Betting Insiders report that outlines a strategy for trading correct score football markets.
I'm sure that this will be a handy strategy to have in your betting armoury.
Basically the method outlined by Jakub Gawel involves backing high scores in games where one team is very short odds on to win.
And then as the game progresses trade out of the position as the scores shorten.
Jakub gives a couple of examples and the general scenario is that one team is starting at odds of 1.2 or less in the win market and has a history of high scoring games.
Jakub then bet scores of 4-0 and 4-1 at double figure odds.
Then as the game progresses every time a goal is scored by the hot favourite the odds shorten on the big score lines and a profit can be locked in by laying the score line.
There is scope for this to go wrong but if you do your research this looks like a great strategy.
You will need to keep your wits about you, for example if the underdog scores you need to lay off the 4-1 score straight away because if they get another you will have two losing bets.
By betting a score to nil and a score to one either team can score first and you will still have at least one active bet to trade out of.
If you want to read the full method you can join the Betting Insiders here.
Update 2020: This is still a valid strategy, but from experience I would say that the safer strategy is to lay the smaller score lines, either 3-0 and 3-1 or 2-0 and 2,1.
The profit will be smaller from these more likely correct scores but you will be making a profit more often.
As with any football betting, especially in the correct score markets you need to do your research and when trading you need to be on the ball and ready to update your position after each goal.
Understanding Greyhound Racing Form
I've been promising for a while now that I will teach some winning greyhound strategies so today I'm going to explain how the form is recorded for the dogs. I'll then go on to share a strategy that I have used for years whenever I bet the dogs.
This is going to run over a number of days and I might spread it out a bit so as to not bore those readers not interested in the dogs, but we'll see how it goes.
So below you will see a screenshot of some greyhound racing form and below that a list of what the various items mean.
Greyhound racing form – Click to Enlarge
[1] Starting with the easy, this is the trap that the dog will run from
[2] The dogs name & (W) indicates that this dog is a wide runner and consequently it will be allocated one of the outside traps each time it runs. You may also see (M) which indicates a middle runner and this dog will be allocated a middle trap.
[3] The best recent (Calculated) time that the greyhound has achieved along with details of the grade and the date. In this case the best time came in a trial, a trial is a qualifying race which helps the racing manager to know how to grade the dog IE what is it's ability what race should he put it in. Trials will usually have less than 6 runners, 3 in this case, and there is no betting on trials.
[4] The name of the trainer.
[5] This is the Racing Post rating for the dog. It is time based and personally I don’t pay much attention to it.
[6] A description of the animal in this case a F b which is a fawn bitch (female) a male will be indicated with a d for dog. This is followed by the name of the dogs sire (father), dam (mother) and the date whelped (Date of Birth).
[7] Date last in season. Bitches only!
[8] This is the Racing Post's tipsters comment, often vague and and can sway your judgement.
Now we get to the past form for the dog in question. Each line represents one race with the top line being the most recent.
[9] The date of the race.
[10] The track where the race was run.
[11] The distance of the race in metres.
[12] The trap number that the dog ran from on that occasion.
[13] The sectional or split time. This is the time from the traps to the winning line the first time the dog passes the line. This is useful to hep you understand the pace of the dog and whether it is likely to lead early.
[14] Position in race at the start (IE out of the traps), quarter (In a 4 bend race this will be between the 1st & 2nd bends), half and three quarter stages.
[15] Finishing position.
[16] The distance beaten by or if the winner the distance won by.
[17] The name of the winner or the second if this dog was the winner.
[18] The Racing Manager's in running comments for that run
[19] The time that the winner took to complete the race.
[20] The allowance made for the going. N = normal otherwise plus or minus in hundredths of a second EG – 40 means that the time was adjusted down by 40 hundredths of a second.
[21] The starting price of the dog.
[22] The grade of the race.
[23] The calculated time for this dog. This will be calculated from the distance the dog finished behind the winner and adjusted for the going allowance.
Now that we understand the information (form) that we have available next time we can look at how we can use that information.
Now we know how to read the card check out these posts that deal with finding a winner.
Who is the fastest to the first bend
Greyhound racing videos
Baulking
Is it fast enough
Image courtesy of Saris0000 under Creative Commons 2.0
... ..., /caption, ability, ads, age, align=, aligncenter, Art, attention, Aw, beat, Ben, bend, best recent Calculated, bet, bit, BSP, caption id=, case, Class, Click, comment, comments, courtesy, date, details, distance, dog, dogs, ears, end, father, field, Fin, form, Fr, gem, GER, GOING, grade, greyhound racing, greyhound racing form, half, help, info, information, Inter, IRE, itch, judgement, line, Lingfield, Lingfield Neige Dantan, list, look, Low, mag, man, Manager, men, middle, Minus, mother, norm, number, n’t, occasion, past, past Form, person, position, post, price, promising, Punt, question, race, racing, racing manager, Racing Post, Racing Post rating, rating, readers, rest, run, runner, running, runs, screenshot, season, selection, share, shot, SP, SR, stage, stages, Stan, Star, start, starting price, strategies, strategy, tail, time, tips, tipster, tipsters, title, Tp, track, trainer, Trainer Trends, trap, Trends, trial, UK, understanding, US., way, WH, width=, win, Win bet, winner, winning line, Wn, Won, |Winners |Strike Rate