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Football Bets

Today I’ve got you an analysis of today’s Palace v Baggies game with some big priced bets from that game all courtesy of Premier League expert pundit, Mark Foley.

Mark’s Football Forecasts service is on fire, with over 50 points profit so far this month.

You can get the rest of today’s bets when you join him for just £9.99 – http://footballforecasts.uk/ffwp 

Crystal Palace vs. West Brom 
(Ref comments courtesy of You Are The Ref).

Ref: Jonathan Moss: Jonathan Moss shouldn’t have too many issues dealing with this one, even though Pulis is probably still smarting from his failure to send off Aston Villa’s Alan Hutton for a wild challenge on Saido Berahino in their game at the beginning of March.

The regularity with which PGMOL offer Moss appointments speaks volumes as to his appreciation and application of the laws of the game.

Take a look at the current form leagues and Palace are in 3rd place behind Arsenal and United. Tony Pulis, on the other hand is looking to avoid losing four Premier League games in a row for the first time since he was Stoke manager. When you consider that West Brom have won just one of their previous five Premier League meetings with Crystal Palace (L2 D2) a Palace win looks on the cards today.

Palace are playing a far more expansive game under Alan Pardew and have kept only one clean sheet in the 12 PL games he has been in charge. However, if Palace score four goals in this game they will have matched their total under Tony Pulis last season (26 goals in 26 games) in only 13 matches under Alan Pardew (22 so far).

West Brom conceded only seven goals in Tony Pulis’s first nine PL games in charge but have conceded 10 in the last three. WBA have conceded 3+ goals in each of their last three league games, they have not done that in four successive top-flight games since September 1985.

Palace have won 5 of their last 6 PL games, including a win against the reigning champs and have scored 10 goals in their last 4 games. I can see them running out either 2-1 or 3-1 winners today.

Yannick Bolasie finally found his scoring boots and became the first Congolese player to score a Premier League hat-trick last week. Glenn Murray is in red hot form and has scored six goals and assisted three more in his last six Premier League appearances, he likes netting the opener.

Until the City game Palace had won their last four corner battles at home by at least 3 corners. The Baggies have only won 18 corners in their last 7 away games.

My bets:

Correct score 3-1: Coral / Bet365 18/1.

Correct score 2-1: Coral / Bet365 17/2.

Corner handicap Palace -4: Powers 3/1.

Also considered:

1st goal scorer Glenn Murray: 11/2 widely available.

All the best

Mark Foley

http://footballforecasts.uk/ffwp 

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Big Priced Weekend Racing Tips

Today Nick Hardman has a bet for tonight’s Bath card as well as big priced selections at Ayr and Newbury tomorrow.

Over at the Betting School Insiders Club he has selections for the Scottish Grand National – Click Here

Last week Saint Are (adv 33/1, 2nd) gave us a good run for our money in the Grand National after 2 of our other selections came crashing down at the first fence!

This week we take a look at the Scottish Champion Hurdle and the Spring Cup from Newbury on Saturday and we have an early season pointer from a trainer who sends just the one runner to that specific track today.

We have flat racing from Bath today and Mark Johnston has been a trainer worth following in recent years.Continue Reading

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Easy Leaders

Although I love a system for quickly finding horses to bet on, I know that if I want to make better returns on my betting then I need to add additional work to improve the selections that my systems throw up.

If you don’t have all day to find your selections then you have to be efficient with your time and betting systems fit that bill. Especially if you have them set up in a tool like Horse Race Base that will find the actual bets for you.

But the most profitable way to find winners is to use your judgement on the individual runners of a race because horse racing is not so regimented that a system can take account of every factor or fit every situation.

So the most efficient way to find your own selections I believe is to use systems to find a shortlist of horses that you might be interested in and form based factors to make the final selections.

Or a system based approach to find the races that you might be interested in and then form to find the selection in that race.

One of the most interesting articles I read recently was in Issue 4 of On Course Profits magazine and it was written by Josh Wright and was about using the Pace Maps at Geegeez Gold to find horses that would get an easy lead and hopefully hold that lead for a win.

That article plays on my mind and although I havent mastered the process yet I am convinced that this year players on the flat will make big money using that technique.

If you’re looking for a profitable strategy for this flat season then I recommend that you read that article (again) you can get Issue 4 of On Course Profits magazine for free in the iTunes store and in the Android Play store. If you don’t have a device that will read that then you can buy it on Amazon for £1.99.

Today’s Selection

15:15 Cheltenham Broxbourne – wn bet – 7/2 Sky Bet

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C system up to 16.31 points

The last couple of weeks I have been writing about the “c” system.

This system is now up to 16.31 points for the month so I am happy with the way the testing is going at the moment.

I have mentioned before in the Daily Punt that all the systems I create go through what I like to call “3 point testing “.

Price pressure

The Edge

Random testing

This testing not only gives me an indication of how confident I can be in the system but also how prices will affect the profit.

You can see an example of this testing here.
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