Yesterday I was having a look around at the various features of Horse Race Base and took a look at a feature called Stat Attack.
Basically this feature looks at a lot of different stats and shows the horses that qualify and the specific strike rate for the horse under that rule.
So for example Horse Career Place – How many times the horse has run and how many times it has placed.
Now what struck me when I opened this page was that there were horses with a 100% strike rate and not from just 1 or 2 runs.
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The top horse had 8 runs and had placed in all of them.
Here's yesterdays list
| Stat Type | Card No | Horse | Race | Runs | Wins or Places | Strike Rate | FC ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horse Trainer Place | 4 | Lots Of Memories (IRE) | 2.35 Limerick | 8 | 8 | 100% | 3/1 |
| Horse Career Place | 4 | Lots Of Memories (IRE) | 2.35 Limerick | 8 | 8 | 100% | 3/1 |
| Horse Hcap(non) Place | 4 | Lots Of Memories (IRE) | 2.35 Limerick | 8 | 8 | 100% | 3/1 |
| Horse Track Place | 4 | The Confessor | 4.45 Goodwood | 6 | 6 | 100% | 10/1 |
| Horse Trainer Place | 1 | Indevan | 2.35 Limerick | 5 | 5 | 100% | 5/4 |
| Horse Jockey Place | 6 | Marchese Marconi (IRE) | 4.40 Curragh | 5 | 5 | 100% | 12/1 |
| Horse Direction Place | 1 | Indevan | 2.35 Limerick | 5 | 5 | 100% | 5/4 |
| Horse Direction Place | 4 | Lots Of Memories (IRE) | 2.35 Limerick | 5 | 5 | 100% | 3/1 |
| Horse Hcap(non) Place | 1 | Indevan | 2.35 Limerick | 5 | 5 | 100% | 5/4 |
| Horse Distance Place | 13 | Heaney (IRE) | 4.50 Limerick | 5 | 5 | 100% | 10/1 |
| Horse Career Place | 1 | Indevan | 2.35 Limerick | 5 | 5 | 100% | 5/4 |
The list is actually huge, I've filtered it to only look at horses with a 100% strike rate.
Just looking at these blindly without any further consideration you can see that we have the following…
Limerick 2.35 Indevan – Won 5/4
Limerick 2.35 Lots of Memories – Second 3/1
Curragh 4.40 Marchese Marconi – Second 12/1
Goodwood 4.45 The Confessor – Lose (4th 8/1)
Limerick 4.50 Heaney – Lose (5th 9/1)
I don't know what I'm going to do with this info yet, but I'm definitely going to have a closer look at it.
Here's today's…
| Stat Type | Card No | Horse | Race | Runs | Wins or Places | Strike Rate | FC ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horse Distance Place | 14 | Stiff Upper Lip (IRE) | 5.10 Windsor | 6 | 6 | 100% | 14/1 |
Just the one horse with a 100% strike rate and the stat is “horse distance place” so the horse has run at this distance 6 times and placed 6 times. It is available at 9/1.
Lay Debutants
13:50:00 Salisbury 9 Janets Legacy
13:50:00 Salisbury 3 Mr Wickfield
13:50:00 Salisbury 13 Rapunzal
14:00:00 Windsor 10 Bon Port
14:00:00 Windsor 1 Comanchero (IRE)
14:20:00 Salisbury 3 Darting
14:20:00 Salisbury 5 Kate Kelly (IRE)
14:50:00 Salisbury 2 Alumina (IRE)
15:05:00 Windsor 12 Exotic Lady (IRE)
16:55:00 Limerick 7 Katachenko (IRE)
Today's Selection
4.20 Musselburgh Rothesay Chancer – eachway bet – 12/1 Bet 365
Good work
Would you please advise me on how to calculate winnings when placing a lay bet on Betfair SP.
Many Thanks
ALAN
Hi Alan
Because we are laying at a fixed liability instead of a backers stake the calculation is a little more complicated, but not hard.
If we lay to a £10 liability (the minimum allowed) and say the price is 4.0, then the calculation is £10/ (4.0 – 1) = £3.33 so your profit is £3.33 minus your commission.
Dave
Todays 100% Strike Rate horse(Stiff Upper Lip) has won/been placed 6 out of 6 at this distance. How many times has it run in total then, as its last 7 recorded results are 5 2 1 8 9 7 2 .
Tried it on today’s racing in Australia.
4 tracks. using career, track, distance.
pulled in quite a few winners
may have to fine tune it though.
will check the next day’s racing and see how we go
Quote “I don’t know what I’m going to do with this info yet,…”
With those odds, backing all those five E/W, you are going to make a loss (despite the 5/4 winner) !
The basic idea is probably not a bad one, though.