First up I want to give you the Betfan free tips link again as I didnt have it working for the first few hours yesterday – http://betfan.com
There's a bit of debate around the office at the moment about the merits of a simple system that backs favourites and then skips a race after a winner, in the expectation that this will increase the strike rate.
Systems like this have been around a long time and to my mind they are doomed as a winning strategy and just for the fun bettor.
But with nothing to write about today I thought I'd share it here to see what you think, tell me in the comments.
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“So basically the system is to back the favourite, if the favourite wins then don't bet on the next race.”
I can't think of an easy way to test this over the long term other than manually.
I've just done yesterday and I get -3.12 points instead of -11.24 from backing all favourites!
What do you think?
Peter's Course Specialists
5.25 Newmarket Victrix Ludorum 8/1 Bet 365, Bet Victor
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14:20:00 Pontefract 6 Smart Alec (IRE)
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17:45:00 Wolverhampton 1 Copper Cavalier
19:45:00 Wolverhampton 8 Lookbeforeyouleap
Today's Selection
7.45 Wolverhampton Hidden Belief – win bet – 3/1 Bet365, Paddy Power, Sky Bet, Bet Victor
On the principle of not backing the fav after a winning fav I can’t see the maths in this, we know the ratios of fav wins but there is mothing to prove they don’t win 2 3 or 4 in a row and if you adopt this method I can see you missing some winners but betting on ALL the losers.
Surely if you are going to adopt a patern it would be better to bet after a squence of losses at least then you have missed the losses not any winners
I was told a system were you back the favourite,after one lost… Not skip a race,go to any meeting if the first favourite goes down then you back the fav in the next and so forth,on average 1 favourite wins in 3 if you back the favourite after one lost the strike rate is going to shoot up.
Just to add, I have never done this system but with a little bit of tweaking i am sure this could be a winner
Thanks for you interesting article would you have placepot method where you can use 6 or7 different forms or how can i constuct my bets app Richard south Africa
i was using a fav.method forty years ago when most race meetings were six races only if the fav.did not win the first three races then start on 4th race with 1 point if lost 5th race 2pts 6th race 3pts stop at winner as soon has fav won in sequence then stop regards ron.g