Before I get to today's research I should mention that Ross Turner is giving away some systems today, that you might want to go and get before you read on – Click Here.
There are a number of tools available to the race horse trainer to help his charge perform at it's best.
But generally when a horse uses this extra help it is considered a negative factor and the results show this to be the case.
The overall numbers for horses wearing a tongue tie for the first time are pretty bleak.
From over 19,000 qualifiers there have been just 1200 winners and the strike rate is 6.48% and the return on investment is a minus 43%.
Horses to lay maybe?
But I guess there are two types of trainers.
Those that are clutching at straws and who will try anything to get a better performance out of their slow horse.
And those that can correctly diagnose a tongue problem and only use them when they know it will make a difference.
Tongue Tie Horse Racing System
What I've done is to create a system in Horseracebase that selects horses that are wearing a tongue tie for the first time who are trained by a trainer who historically has had a greater than 10% strike rate with first time tongue ties and have a greater than 10% ROI with the same.
And who have had more than 25 qualifiers previously.
The historic results are…
Runs = 541
Wins = 77
Strike Rate = 14.23%
Profit at iSP = 268.46
Return on Investment = 49.62%
So I don't know if this will stand up going forward, but I will track it for a few months before I decide whether to invest in the selections.
Here are the rules I have…
Today's Selection
2.40 Kempton Divine Rule – eachway bet – 12/1 Bet Victor